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Plzeň U20
Karlovy Vary U20
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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Salavat Ufa vs Bars Kazan: match prediction on 16 September 2026
Salavat Ufa
Bars Kazan
Prediction for
Win: Salavat Ufa
41%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
41%
1
18%
X
41%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 14 Sep, 15:13- Салават Юлаев — 2. place, 0 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 losses)
- Барс Казань — 1. place, 0 points after 4 games (3 wins, 1 losses)
- Салават Юлаев, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Барс Казань, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 24 games, Салават Юлаев — 12, Барс Казань — 12
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Salavat Ufa
WLLWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Bars Kazan
WLLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 38
15Salavat Ufa
0Draw
23Bars Kazan
- 28 JanBars Kazan — Salavat Ufa3:4
- 20 Dec 2025Salavat Ufa — Bars Kazan1:2
- 16 Dec 2025Bars Kazan — Salavat Ufa6:3
- 5 Dec 2025Salavat Ufa — Bars Kazan4:1
- 14 Oct 2025Salavat Ufa — Bars Kazan1:4
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 14 Sep, 15:13Salavat Ufa to win against Bars Kazan
The home side holds a narrow advantage for Wednesday's KHL clash, with the model placing their victory probability at 41%. The visitors lack the edge to justify backing, as Salavat Ufa's recent form at home and the expected-goals model both point to a tight contest that the hosts are better equipped to finish.
Salavat Ufa have won two of their last five matches, scoring 17 goals and conceding 16, while Bars Kazan have won three of five with 12 goals for and 10 against. The home side's results include a 6:8 defeat away at Barys Astana and a 4:0 victory over Avangard Omsk, showing they leak goals but punish lapses.
The two sides have met 24 times in recent years with 12 wins apiece. They have traded wins evenly.
The model expects both teams to score 2.6 goals, with an 18% chance of a draw and 86% probability that both sides find the net. The most likely scorelines are 2:2 (6%), 3:2 (5%) and 2:3 (5%). These figures indicate a high-scoring affair where the margin between victory and defeat is slim. The 41% confidence in a home win reflects the slight edge Salavat Ufa gain from playing on their own ice.
A draw would also undermine the conclusion, given the 18% draw probability and the even head-to-head record. The visitors need only to avoid the mistakes that cost them against Magnitogorsk and Nizhny Novgorod to turn this into a different outcome.