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SKA-Akademiya vs Almaz: match prediction on 7 September 2026

MHL HC "Hockey City" Saint Petersburg Miss Match page
SKA-Akademiya Almaz

Prediction for

Win: Almaz

59%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

26% 1
15% X
59% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 5 Sep, 17:02

Almaz to Win Away Against SKA-Akademiya

Almaz are clear favourites for the 7 September MHL fixture. That confidence holds as long as SKA-Akademiya does not dramatically improve on their recent defensive record.

SKA-Akademiya have won two and lost three in five friendlies, conceding 19 goals. A 5-3 win over Dynamo Moscow was an exception to a pattern of defensive leaks.

Almaz have won three of five, netting 15 and conceding 11. They beat Lokomotiv-76 4-1 at home but lost 2-5 to the same side away.

The head-to-head record runs entirely in Almaz's favour. In two meetings this season, the visitors have won both times, scoring 9 goals compared to SKA-Akademiya's 4. The most recent encounter ended 4-1 to Almaz in January, and before that the hosts lost 5-3 in October. SKA-Akademiya have yet to beat their opponents this season.

Stats point to a high-scoring game, with BTTS probability sitting at 90% and 2-3 or 2-4 the most likely scorelines. The draw probability is just 15%, which fits with Almaz's superior recent form and their historical dominance in this fixture.

Almaz are listed second in the MHL table ahead of the season opener.

The pick breaks if the hosts tighten up. The visitors have scored freely in head-to-head meetings, but if the hosts can limit them to one or two goals, the model's projections shift. An early goal for SKA-Akademiya could also change the dynamic, forcing Almaz to chase the game rather than control it.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 5 Sep, 17:02
  • СКА-Академия, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Алмаз, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, СКА-Академия — 0, Алмаз — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

SKA-Akademiya WLWWL 3 wins · 2 losses
Almaz WLWLW 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 3

0SKA-Akademiya 0Draw 3Almaz
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+