Tambov vs CSK VVS: match prediction on 5 September 2026

CSK VVS win away at Tambov on 5 September, backed by the model's expectation of 3.7 goals for the visitors against 1.8 for the hosts and a 91% probability of three or more goals in the match. The visitors have already played one VHL fixture this season, while Tambov have not yet featured in league action, and the fixture carries significant stakes for both sides.

Tambov's recent record shows two wins and three defeats across five matches, with 18 goals scored and 18 conceded. Their last outing was a 3:5 loss to Buran Voronezh on 28 August in a club friendly, following a 7:3 victory over Dizel on 16 August and a 3:2 home win against the same side on 7 August. Earlier defeats came against Proton in the NMHL, 3:4 away on 22 March and 2:4 away on 21 March. The side has not played a league match yet this season.

CSK VVS have won one and lost four of their last five games, netting 8 goals and conceding 14. Their most recent result was a 1:2 loss to Buran Voronezh on 3 September in VHL competition, preceded by defeats to Orsk 1:4 on 28 August, Toros Neftekamsk 1:3 on 15 August, and Bars 0:1 on 14 August. They opened their campaign with a 5:4 friendly win over Almetyevsk on 13 August. The visitors sit 21st in the table with 0 points from 1 match.

The head-to-head record favours Tambov with four victories in six meetings, while CSK VVS have won twice. Recent encounters include a 0:1 away loss for CSK VVS on 12 December 2025, a 5:2 home win on 2 December 2025, and a 6:1 home victory for Tambov on 7 January 2025. The visitors have not won at Tambov in the last two meetings.

The model projects Tambov 1.8 goals and CSK VVS 3.7 goals, with a 13% chance of a draw and 81% probability both sides score. The three most likely scorelines are 1:3, 1:4, and 2:3, each at 6%. This expectation rests on the visitors' higher scoring record and the model's calculation from goals scored and conceded.