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70%
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Tolpar vs SKA-1946: match prediction on 16 October 2026
Tolpar
SKA-1946
Prediction for
Win: SKA-1946
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
31%
1
16%
X
53%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 15 Oct, 14:45- Толпар — 8. place, 0 points after 13 games (6 wins, 7 losses)
- СКА-1946 — 6. place, 0 points after 12 games (6 wins, 6 losses)
- Толпар, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- СКА-1946, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Tolpar
WLWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
SKA-1946
LLWLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 1
0Tolpar
0Draw
1SKA-1946
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 15 Oct, 14:45SKA-1946 are the winners
SKA-1946 beat Tolpar in the MHL. Both teams had entered the fixture with identical records of two wins and three losses in their last five games, but SKA-1946 secured the points on 16 October 2026.
The visiting side had played one match fewer than Tolpar, sitting in sixth place with 12 games completed, while Tolpar were seventh after 13 matches.
SKA-1946’s recent form included a 4-1 win against Mikhaylov Academy U20 and a 3-1 victory over Dynamo Moscow, though they had suffered defeats to Irbis and the academy side in between. Tolpar’s run featured a 7-6 win over Molot Perm and a 2-1 win against Irbis, but they had lost heavily in other fixtures, including a 2-10 defeat to AKM-Junior.
This was their first competitive meeting since a 2-1 friendly win in August 2022. The win provides SKA-1946 with momentum following their mixed run of away results, while Tolpar add a loss to their record after three defeats in the last five games.