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TPS Turku vs IFK Helsingfors: match prediction on 5 September 2026

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TPS Turku IFK Helsingfors

Prediction for

Slight edge: TPS Turku

43%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

43% 1
18% X
39% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 4 Sep, 11:27

TPS Turku to Win

TPS Turku host IFK Helsingfors on 5 September. The hosts have won five straight and remain unbeaten at home; IFK have lost two of their last five.

TPS Turku have not lost a game since August. TPS have netted 16 in five, including a 4-2 home win over KooKoo on 1 September.

IFK Helsingfors sit on three wins and two defeats from their last five games. They have scored 17 goals and conceded 14. Their latest result was a 5:3 victory over Hämeenlinna at home on 4 September. They lost to KalPa 1:3 and JYP 3:5 in their other two defeats.

The two sides have met six times since the start of 2025. IFK Helsingfors won four of those encounters, while TPS Turku claimed two. The most recent clash ended 4:3 to TPS Turku on 20 December 2025. In the table, both teams have one win and zero losses, though IFK Helsingfors sit fourth and TPS Turku sixth.

Models give the draw an 18% chance and 86% to both sides scoring. The most likely scorelines are 2:2, 3:2, and 2:3. IFK have won four of the last six. IFK will pounce on the counter.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 4 Sep, 11:27
  • ТПС Турку — 4. place, 0 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • ТПС Турку, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • ИФК Хельсингфорс, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 16 games, ТПС Турку — 7, ИФК Хельсингфорс — 9

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

TPS Turku WLLLW 2 wins · 3 losses
IFK Helsingfors LWWWL 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 38

19TPS Turku 0Draw 19IFK Helsingfors
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+