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Plzeň U20
Karlovy Vary U20
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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TPS Turku vs Tappara: match prediction on 17 September 2026
TPS Turku
Tappara
Prediction for
Win: Tappara
49%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
33%
1
17%
X
49%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 15 Sep, 16:33- ТПС Турку — 4. place, 0 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 losses)
- Таппара — 16. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 losses)
- ТПС Турку, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Таппара, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 21 games, ТПС Турку — 7, Таппара — 14
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
TPS Turku
WLLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Tappara
WLWLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 39
15TPS Turku
0Draw
24Tappara
- 24 JanTappara — TPS Turku4:3
- 17 JanTPS Turku — Tappara4:2
- 13 Dec 2025TPS Turku — Tappara3:5
- 23 Sep 2025Tappara — TPS Turku1:2
- 1 Mar 2025TPS Turku — Tappara2:7
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 15 Sep, 16:33The visitors have scored in every recent fixture and their model expectation of 3 goals sits higher than TPS's 2.5, while the head-to-head record shows Tappara has won 3 of the last 6 meetings.
TPS only stay in it if they lead at the break. Their home record shows they can grind results, and a 2:2 draw sits alongside 2:3 as the most probable scoreline at 6% each.
TPS Turku have won 3 of their last 5 Liiga matches, netting 15 goals while conceding 11. Their most recent outing ended 1:4 at home against Mikkelin Jukurit on 15 September, but before that they beat IFK Helsingfors 5:1 and KooKoo 4:2. They sit 7th in the table after 4 games with 2 wins and 2 losses. Tappara have also won 3 of their last 5 matches across all competitions, scoring 15 goals and conceding 15. Their latest result was a 3:2 victory away at Pelicans Lahti on 15 September, following a 2:1 win over Växjö Lakers in the Champions Hockey League. They currently occupy 12th place after 2 games with 1 win and 1 loss.
They have traded wins in their last six. The most recent encounter ended 4:3 to Tappara on 24 January 2026, while TPS won 4:2 at home on 17 January 2026. Both sides have been involved in high-scoring affairs, with the largest margin being a 7:2 victory for Tappara on 1 March 2025.
The model expects a game with plenty of goals. Both teams to score carries an 87% probability, while 3 or more goals in the match sits at 91%. The three most likely scorelines are 2:2 at 6%, 2:3 at 6%, and 3:2 at 5%.
TPS Turku have shown vulnerability at home recently, losing 1:4 to Jukurit and 1:2 to Vaasan Sport in consecutive fixtures. Tappara's away form has been mixed but they have won their last two away matches, against Pelicans and Växjö. The visitors' ability to score in every recent game, combined with their higher expected goal output, gives them the edge.
Both sides need a win to steady their campaigns. TPS need a win to climb the table, while Tappara are looking to build momentum after their opening loss. The 17% draw probability reflects the likelihood of a tight contest.
The match kicks off at 15:30 UTC on 17 September 2026.