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Třinec U20 vs Plzeň U20: match prediction on 26 September 2026

ELJ Werk Arena Třinec Hit Match page
Třinec U20 Plzeň U20

Prediction for

Win: Třinec U20

58%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

58% 1
17% X
25% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 25 Sep, 12:11

Třinec U20 to win.

The home side's form has been sharp. In their last five matches they have won four and lost only once, scoring 19 goals while conceding 13. The results show a side capable of both control and chaos — a 6:5 win away at Kladno followed by a 3:1 home victory over Slavia Praha. That single defeat came against Sparta Prague, 3:2 on the road, but even in that game they scored twice.

Our analysis expects goals from both ends. Třinec U20 are projected to score 3.2 goals on average, Plzeň 2.2. The draw probability sits at 17%, while both teams to score is priced at 85% and matches with three or more goals reach 90%. The most likely scorelines cluster around high-scoring outcomes — 3:2 and 2:2 each at 6%, 3:1 at 5%.

History favours the hosts. In December 2025 they secured a 3:0 victory away from home. The only defeat came in October 2025, when Plzeň won 3:0 at Třinec, but that was more than a year ago. The league positions tell a different story — Třinec sit sixth after seven matches, Plzeň tenth after five — but the head-to-head record suggests the gap between these sides is wider than the table indicates.

A draw would also suit them — they have shown they can score, and if they manage to contain Třinec's attack while hitting on the counter, the 17% draw probability becomes relevant. But our expectations point elsewhere, and the recent record does not.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 25 Sep, 12:11
  • Тршинец U20 — 7. place, 0 points after 6 games (3 wins, 3 losses)
  • Пльзень U20 — 12. place, 0 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 losses)
  • Тршинец U20, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Пльзень U20, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 10 games, Тршинец U20 — 6, Пльзень U20 — 4

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Třinec U20 LWWWW 4 wins · 1 loss
Plzeň U20 WWLWW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 18

10Třinec U20 0Draw 8Plzeň U20
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+