Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Tychy
Davos
Prediction for
Win: Davos
90%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 8 Sep, 17:06Davos to win
Davos arrive with momentum and confidence, having won both Champions Hockey League matches so far. A 8:2 victory over Eisbären Berlin on 6 September and a 3:2 win against Storhamar four days earlier show a side firing on all cylinders. Tychy, by contrast, have lost both their CHL outings — 1:2 away to Plzeň and 0:6 away to Pardubice Dynamo. The gap between the two sides is stark.
Tychy's last five matches read as a straight run of defeats. They have not won or drawn a single game, scoring just 8 goals while conceding 20. The 0:6 loss to Pardubice and 1:2 defeat to Plzeň in the competition suggest they have found no answer to European opposition. Davos have won three of their last five, including two of their three most recent matches, and have scored 21 goals in that span.
The two sides sit at opposite ends of the table. Davos occupy 6th place with 2 wins from 2 matches. Tychy languish in 22nd with 0 wins from 2. Both have already played their away CHL fixture and lost, but Davos have followed that with two home victories while Tychy have yet to register a point.
The model expects Davos to score 4.5 goals and Tychy 1.1. The most likely scorelines are 1:4 (7%), 0:4 (7%) and 1:5 (6%). A 3+ goal margin is expected in 91% of simulated matches. Both teams to score stands at 64%, but the draw probability is just 6%. Davos are the clear favourites.
This conclusion stops holding if Tychy find a way to contain Davos' attack and exploit set pieces. Davos have been dominant at home but have lost two of their last five matches, including a 5:6 defeat to Adler Mannheim. If Tychy can frustrate them and keep the match tight, the model's confidence erodes.
Confidence: 75%