Yokohama Grits vs Tohoku Free Blades: match prediction on 19 September 2026

Tohoku Free Blades are favourites to win. The model expects them to score 3.4 goals against 3.1 for Yokohama, and they have won 4 of the last 6 meetings between these sides.

Yokohama are unbeaten this season, beating Kobe 6-2 and 3-2 at home in September, then 4-3 and 4-2 away in March. Only a 3-6 defeat to Tohoku on 8 March breaks the run. They’ve netted 20 and let in 15.

Tohoku are winless this season. Their last five were all away to Hokkaido, yielding a single 5-3 win on 19 March and four defeats. 15 scored, 20 conceded.

Tohoku leads 4-2 in the last six encounters. The most recent meeting was 6:3 to Tohoku at home on 8 March, after Yokohama had won 1:0 at home on 7 March.

The model projects a high-scoring game. BTTS probability stands at 92%, and 3 or more goals at 95%. The most likely scorelines are 3:3 and 2:3, each at 5%, with 3:2 at 4%. The draw probability is 16%.

This shifts if Yokohama’s defence holds firm. A tight game where Tohoku’s attack cannot find space would tilt the balance toward Yokohama or a draw.