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Canterbury vs Southland: match prediction on 26 September 2026

Bunnings NPC One New Zealand Stadium Christchurch Hit Match page
Canterbury Southland

Prediction for

Win: Canterbury

72%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

87% 1
13% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 24 Sep, 06:23

Canterbury extend dominance over Southland

Southland had managed only one victory in their preceding five matches, a 43:12 success against Bay of Plenty on 13 September, before losing 19:55 away to Taranaki on 20 September. Southland’s loss leaves them with a 2-0-6 record, continuing a trend of defeats in away fixtures this season.

Canterbury enter the match fifth in the standings with 30 points from eight games, having won six and lost two. Their recent form includes three wins in their last five outings, including a 66:19 home win against Wellington and a 36:14 away triumph over Waikato. Southland, meanwhile, sit 12th on 13 points, with just two wins from eight matches. Their last five games have yielded only one win, a 43:12 home victory against Bay of Plenty, while the other four outings have ended in defeat.

Head-to-head history shows Canterbury have won all four recorded meetings between the sides. The most recent encounter took place on 6 September 2025, when Canterbury won 54:14 away at Southland.

Canterbury’s consistency at home and in head-to-head matchups continues to set them apart from the lower half of the standings.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 24 Sep, 06:23
  • Кентербери — 5. place, 30 points after 8 games (6 wins, 2 losses)
  • Саутленд — 12. place, 13 points after 8 games (2 wins, 6 losses)
  • Кентербери, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Саутленд, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 3 games, Кентербери — 3, Саутленд — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Canterbury LWWWW 4 wins · 1 loss
Southland LLWLL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 4

4Canterbury 0Draw 0Southland
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+