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Hawke's Bay vs North Harbour: match prediction on 13 September 2026

Bunnings NPC McLean Park Napier Miss Match page
Hawke's Bay North Harbour

Prediction for

Win: Hawke's Bay

69%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

69% 1
31% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 03:06

Hawke's Bay Maintain Perfect Record Against North Harbour

Hawke's Bay completed a fifth consecutive victory in the Bunnings NPC, extending their unbeaten run to five matches. The hosts dominated the statistical profile of the encounter, with their possession and territory stats leading the way. The margin of victory aligned with the underlying data, suggesting the result reflected the disparity in form between the two sides.

Hawke's Bay enter this period of the season with 15 points from five matches, averaging 44.8 points per game while conceding just 22.4. Their standout performance came against a tough opponent, highlighting their current form. North Harbour, by contrast, hold 12 points from five games following a defeat to Manawatu. Their aggregate scoring record of 230 points for and 130 against indicates a stronger offensive output in recent weeks, but their defensive vulnerability was exposed in the loss to Manawatu.

Hawke's Bay have won the last three encounters against North Harbour, including a 36-22 victory at home in August 2025. The previous meeting at this venue, on 27 August 2022, saw Hawke's Bay win 25-23.

The result maintains Hawke's Bay's position as the only team in the competition to win all five of their opening fixtures.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 03:06
  • Хокс Бэй, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • Северная гавань, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 3 games, Хокс Бэй — 3, Северная гавань — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Hawke's Bay WWWLL 3 wins · 2 losses
North Harbour WLWWL 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 5

4Hawke's Bay 0Draw 1North Harbour
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+