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KS Warszawianka
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80%
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Manawatu vs Canterbury: match prediction on 3 October 2026
Manawatu
Canterbury
Prediction for
Win: Canterbury
68%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
32%
1
68%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 1 Oct, 02:10- Манавату — 9. place, 25 points after 9 games (5 wins, 4 losses)
- Кантербери — 2. place, 35 points after 9 games (7 wins, 2 losses)
- Манавату, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Кантербери, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Манавату — 0, Кантербери — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Manawatu
WWLWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Canterbury
WWWWW
5 wins
Head to head 5
0Manawatu
0Draw
5Canterbury
- 30 Aug 2025Canterbury — Manawatu53:14
- 19 Aug 2023Canterbury — Manawatu68:26
- 5 Aug 2022Manawatu — Canterbury15:62
- 14 Aug 2021Canterbury — Manawatu25:22
- 9 Oct 2020Manawatu — Canterbury10:34
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 1 Oct, 02:10Canterbury beat Manawatu 22–12 in Bunnings NPC
Canterbury defeated Manawatu 22–12 in the Bunnings NPC on 3 October 2026. The result confirmed the visitors' superiority in a fixture where they have not lost in the last five meetings. Manawatu remain in ninth place with 25 points from nine matches, while Canterbury move to fourth with 35 points.
The scoreline reflected a match where Canterbury controlled the outcome. The visitors had won four of their last five away fixtures, including a victory at North Harbour, but suffered a defeat away to Taranaki in August. Manawatu, meanwhile, had won four of their last five games overall, including a 40–34 win against Auckland. Despite similar recent form, Canterbury's history against their neighbours remained unbroken.
Canterbury have won all five recent meetings, including a 53–14 thrashing in August 2025.
The venue was not listed in the available records, though Manawatu traditionally play at Central Energy Trust Arena. The match kick-off was scheduled for 01:05 UTC.