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Anilana Lodz
KS Warszawianka
Prediction for Anilana Lodz — KS Warszawianka
80%
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Taranaki vs Wellington: match prediction on 4 October 2026
Taranaki
Wellington
Prediction for
Win: Taranaki
70%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
70%
1
30%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 2 Oct, 02:10- Таранаки — 7. place, 29 points after 9 games (5 wins, 4 losses)
- Веллингтон — 14. place, 6 points after 9 games (0 wins, 9 losses)
- Таранаки, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Веллингтон, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Таранаки — 1, Веллингтон — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Taranaki
WWWWL
4 wins · 1 loss
Wellington
LLLLL
5 losses
Head to head 4
2Taranaki
0Draw
2Wellington
- 27 Sep 2025Taranaki — Wellington39:20
- 18 Aug 2024Wellington — Taranaki26:19
- 28 Aug 2022Wellington — Taranaki31:25
- 18 Sep 2021Taranaki — Wellington32:26
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 2 Oct, 02:10Taranaki rout Wellington in dominant display
Taranaki beat Wellington 68-26 in the Bunnings NPC on Saturday, 4 October 2026, extending their grip on the top half of the table while handing Wellington a ninth straight defeat. The hosts finished with a margin of 42 points, a scoreline that mirrored the statistical divergence between the sides. Taranaki enter the weekend in eighth place with 29 points from nine matches, having won five and lost four. Wellington remain in 14th place with six points, having lost every game this season.
The match followed a pattern of Taranaki’s recent dominance at home. In their last five outings, Taranaki have won four times, scoring 226 points and conceding 98. Wellington’s last five games produced no victories, with 111 points for and 262 against. The model predicting goals before the fixture forecasted 41.7 for Taranaki and 22.3 for Wellington. The final score exceeded the prediction for the hosts but aligned closely with the visitors’ expectation. The probability of a draw was calculated at 0%, a figure that accurately reflected the outcome.
The result confirmed Taranaki’s superiority in the immediate head-to-head. The teams met on 4 October 2026, with Taranaki winning 68-26. Prior to that, on 27 September 2025, Taranaki won 39-20 at home. Wellington had won two previous meetings against Taranaki, one at home in August 2024 and another in August 2022. Taranaki’s record against Wellington had not shifted in the broader historical context, but the recent form gap widened significantly. Wellington’s loss meant they improved to 6 points, while Taranaki’s win moved them to 29 points, keeping them within striking distance of the playoff positions.
The hosts outscored Wellington by a significant margin, reflecting the disparity in form between the two sides. Wellington’s inability to secure a win continued, placing them at the bottom of the table. Taranaki’s victory strengthened their position in the standings, moving them closer to the teams above them.