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Almeria vs Río Duero Soria: match prediction on 17 October 2026

Superliga Pabellón Moisés Ruiz Almería Hit Match page
Almeria Río Duero Soria

Prediction for

Win: Río Duero Soria

71%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

29% 1
71% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 16:45

Match Report: Almeria — Río Duero Soria

Río Duero Soria won the Superliga fixture against Almeria with a score of 3-1. The fixture took place on 17 October 2026 at 15:30 UTC. This outcome extends Río Duero Soria's advantage in the head-to-head record to nine wins from eleven meetings played in recent years, while Almería has secured two victories in that period.

The visitors entered the match with strong recent form, having won four of their previous five Superliga matches, accumulating 12 points. Their only loss in that span was a 3-0 defeat at home against Melilla on 3 May 2026. Almeria, by contrast, had taken nine points from three wins and two losses in their last five games, including heavy away defeats to Guaguas in April 2026.

The final score of 3-1 aligned with the expectation of a multi-goal win for the away side, though it differed from the model's low probability for total goals. The result marks the fourth win for Río Duero Soria in their last six encounters against Almeria.

Almeria's previous home meeting against Río Duero Soria on 24 January 2026 ended 1-3, while the visitors' last home fixture against them on 25 October 2025 resulted in a 3-1 win. The visitors have not lost to Almería in any of their last four visits to the hosts, maintaining their position as the dominant side in this specific rivalry within the Superliga.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 16:45
  • Альмерия, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Рио Дуэро Сория, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 11 games, Альмерия — 2, Рио Дуэро Сория — 9

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Almeria WWLLL 2 wins · 3 losses
Río Duero Soria WWWLW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 13

3Almeria 0Draw 10Río Duero Soria
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+