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Anilana Lodz
KS Warszawianka
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80%
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Istanbul GSK vs Alanya Bld: match prediction on 8 October 2026
Istanbul GSK
Alanya Bld
Prediction for
Win: Istanbul GSK
70%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
70%
1
30%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 6 Oct, 17:05- Стамбул ГСК, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Аланья Бл, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 5 games, Стамбул ГСК — 4, Аланья Бл — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Istanbul GSK
LWLLL
1 win · 4 losses
Alanya Bld
LWWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 5
4Istanbul GSK
0Draw
1Alanya Bld
- 29 SepIstanbul GSK — Alanya Bld2:3
- 8 MarAlanya Bld — Istanbul GSK2:3
- 5 FebAlanya Bld — Istanbul GSK0:3
- 13 Dec 2025Istanbul GSK — Alanya Bld3:0
- 25 Jan 2025Istanbul GSK — Alanya Bld3:1
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 6 Oct, 17:05Istanbul GSK to win. The head-to-head record is the strongest signal here — four victories from five meetings — and the model expects them to find the net more often (2.7 goals to 1.5). Alanya Bld's recent friendly win at this venue does not outweigh that pattern.
Recent form shows no clear advantage for either side. Istanbul BB GSK have two wins and three losses in their last five matches, scoring ten goals and conceding ten. Alanya Bld Bld mirror that record — two wins, three losses, ten goals for, twelve against. Both sides have won their most recent fixture, but neither has found consistency. The friendly on 29 September saw Alanya take a 3:2 victory at Istanbul GSK, yet that was a single match in a different context.
The head-to-head record is more decisive. Across five meetings, Istanbul BB GSK have won four times. Alanya Bld Bld's sole victory came in that friendly on 29 September. Before that, Istanbul GSK won 3:1 at home in January 2025, 3:0 at home in December 2025, and 3:0 away in February 2026. Alanya's only win on their own ground came in March 2026, 2:3 against Istanbul GSK in the league.
The model expects a high-scoring game. Istanbul BB GSK are projected to score 2.7 goals while Alanya Bld Bld are expected to find 1.5. The draw probability sits at 0% and both teams to score is also 0%. These figures suggest a one-sided affair where Istanbul GSK create more chances. The 3:2 friendly result does not align with what the model produces from historical data.
This conclusion breaks if Alanya Bld Bld control the tempo. They have won away against Galatasaray HDI Sigorta and Ordu Telekom recently, showing they can take points on the road. If they sit deeper and hit on the counter, the model's expectations shift. A draw suits Alanya Bld Bld — and given how they run the clock down in tight games, that is the main threat.
Istanbul BB GSK have dominated this fixture for years, and the model backs that up. Alanya Bld Bld's recent friendly win is a blip, not a trend. The Turkish Cup match should follow the same pattern.