Krasnodar Women vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Women: match prediction on 13 September 2026

Krasnodar Women to win. The model puts them at 2.7 expected goals against Yenisey Krasnoyarsk's 1.3, and the head-to-head record backs that gap: Krasnodar have won all six meetings since January 2024, with five of those ending 3:0 or 3:2.

Krasnodar sit top of the Russian Cup Women standings after one match, three points from a single victory.. The standings tell you little about tomorrow's match beyond what the model already shows — both sides have barely started this competition.

Recent form looks identical on paper. Krasnodar have won three and lost two in their last five matches, scoring ten and conceding eight. Yenisey Krasnoyarsk share the same 3-2 record across five games, with twelve goals for and nine against. The difference lies in who they played. Yenisey's victories came in the Cup of Siberia and the Far East against regional opposition; Krasnodar's results include Superliga fixtures against sides like Lokomotiv Kaliningrad and St. Petersburg.

The head-to-head tells a clearer story., and then five consecutive matches at 3:0 or 3:2. The most recent meeting ended 3:2 to Krasnodar at home. — not since before the data reaches back. The model's 0% draw probability and 0% both-teams-to-score figure reflect that pattern, though those numbers deserve a wider margin when the competition is a cup rather than a league fixture.

I see Krasnodar winning 3:1. The model's expected goals suggest a two-goal margin, and the historical record supports that range., while Krasnodar's recent Superliga results show they can score freely — three goals against Kaliningrad and St. Petersburg, two against Leningradka. The model expects both teams to score at 0%, but Yenisey have found the net in four of their last five matches. That figure feels too absolute.

This conclusion stops holding if Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win the first match in their cup campaign by a larger margin than their current one-goal advantage suggests, or if Krasnodar's attack is missing key players not reflected in the available data. A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down in cup ties, that is the main threat.