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Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Poland Women vs Serbia Women: match prediction on 6 September 2026
Poland Women
Serbia Women
Prediction for
Win: Poland Women
68%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
68%
1
32%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 6 Sep, 07:02- Женская сборная Польши, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Женская сборная Сербии, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 9 games, Женская сборная Польши — 4, Женская сборная Сербии — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Poland Women
WWWLL
3 wins · 2 losses
Serbia Women
WWWLW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 10
4Poland Women
0Draw
6Serbia Women
- 5 JunSerbia Women — Poland Women2:3
- 22 Jun 2025Serbia Women — Poland Women1:3
- 19 Jul 2024Poland Women — Serbia Women1:3
- 28 May 2024Poland Women — Serbia Women3:1
- 21 Aug 2023Poland Women — Serbia Women1:3
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 6 Sep, 07:02Poland Women are the clear favourites on recent form. They have won four of their last five matches, including victories over Germany and the Netherlands, while Serbia have managed only three wins from the same period and lost two of their last three outings. The model projects 1.8 goals for Poland, 1.4 for Serbia, and assigns a 65% win probability.
The Polish side have scored 13 goals in five matches. Their most recent result was a 1:3 defeat to Italy, but before that came three consecutive wins at home against Portugal, the Netherlands, and Germany. They also secured a 3:2 away victory against Turkey. Italy’s away win broke a four-match home winning streak.
Serbia's form has been less consistent. They have scored 10 goals and conceded nine in five matches, with two defeats coming against Turkey in different competitions. Their last outing was a 0:3 loss away to Turkey, ending a run that had included wins over Greece and Croatia.
However, the recent pattern favours the hosts. Poland have won the last two encounters, including a 3:2 victory in the Nations League in June 2024 and a 3:1 win in June 2023. Serbia's only victory in that span came in a friendly in July 2024. Momentum is shifting.
The model's expectations align with the statistical picture. Poland's higher expected goals figure reflects their better attacking record, while the negligible draw probability suggests the model sees no path to a stalemate.