Volleyball predictions: upcoming matches

A suggested outcome with a probability and the reasoning behind it. The calculation rests on attacking and defensive strength adjusted for opponents, recent form, head-to-head history and, where available, the bookmakers' line. A forecast is an estimate, not a promise.

Analytical forecasts on sports events based on statistical models

Prediction accuracy

59%

9212 / 15559

9212hit

6347missed

1282Pending

15559checked predictions

Awaiting result

Eliteserien Women Pending

Oslo Women

Koll Women

11 Oct, 14:30

Prediction for Oslo Women — Koll Women

Win: Koll Women

69%probability

1. Division West Women Pending

DHV Odense 2 Women

Lyseng Women

11 Oct, 14:00

Prediction for DHV Odense 2 Women — Lyseng Women

Win: DHV Odense 2 Women

71%probability

1. Division East Women Pending

KSV Women

Farum 2 Women

11 Oct, 11:00

Prediction for KSV Women — Farum 2 Women

Win: KSV Women

72%probability

Checked forecasts

1. Bundesliga Women Hit

USC Münster Women

VC Wiesbaden Women

11 Oct, 15:00

Prediction for USC Münster Women — VC Wiesbaden Women

Win: USC Münster Women

70%probability

1. Division East Hit

Enghave

Frederiksberg

11 Oct, 15:00

Prediction for Enghave — Frederiksberg

Win: Frederiksberg

72%probability

AVL Women Hit

Hartberg Women

Linz-Steg Women

11 Oct, 15:00

Prediction for Hartberg Women — Linz-Steg Women

Win: Linz-Steg Women

71%probability

Serie A1 Women Hit

Macerata Women

Vero Volley Milano Women

11 Oct, 15:00

Prediction for Macerata Women — Vero Volley Milano Women

Win: Vero Volley Milano Women

71%probability

1. Divisão Women Hit

Mamede Women

FC Porto Women

11 Oct, 15:00

Prediction for Mamede Women — FC Porto Women

Win: FC Porto Women

72%probability

Mestaruusliiga Women Miss

Kangasala Women

LiigaPloki Women

11 Oct, 15:00

Prediction for Kangasala Women — LiigaPloki Women

Win: Kangasala Women

71%probability

Mestaruusliiga Women Hit

OrPo Women

Nurmon Jymy Women

11 Oct, 15:00

Prediction for OrPo Women — Nurmon Jymy Women

Win: OrPo Women

67%probability

Eliteserien Women Hit

Oslo Women

Forde Women

11 Oct, 14:30

Prediction for Oslo Women — Forde Women

Win: Forde Women

70%probability

Mestaruusliiga Women Hit

Polkky Kuusamo Women

Arctic Rovaniemi Women

11 Oct, 14:00

Prediction for Polkky Kuusamo Women — Arctic Rovaniemi Women

Win: Polkky Kuusamo Women

72%probability

Sultanlar Ligi Women Hit

Goztepe Women

VakifBank Spor Kulübü Women

11 Oct, 14:00

Prediction for Goztepe Women — VakifBank Spor Kulübü Women

Win: VakifBank Spor Kulübü Women

72%probability

Sultanlar Ligi Women Miss

Manisa BB Women

Kuzeyboru Gençlik Spor Women

11 Oct, 14:00

Prediction for Manisa BB Women — Kuzeyboru Gençlik Spor Women

Win: Kuzeyboru Gençlik Spor Women

72%probability

Sultanlar Ligi Women Hit

Zeren Spor Women

Ilbank Women

11 Oct, 14:00

Prediction for Zeren Spor Women — Ilbank Women

Win: Zeren Spor Women

71%probability

Sultanlar Ligi Women Hit

Eczacıbaşı Dynavit Women

Aras Kargo Women

11 Oct, 14:00

Prediction for Eczacıbaşı Dynavit Women — Aras Kargo Women

Win: Eczacıbaşı Dynavit Women

70%probability

TAURON Liga Women Hit

Opole Women

Bielsko-Biala Women

11 Oct, 14:00

Prediction for Opole Women — Bielsko-Biala Women

Win: Opole Women

54%probability

1. Division East Hit

VLI

Amager 2

11 Oct, 13:30

Prediction for VLI — Amager 2

Win: VLI

71%probability

Eliteserien Hit

Tromso

Randaberg

11 Oct, 13:00

Prediction for Tromso — Randaberg

Win: Tromso

72%probability

Sultanlar Ligi Women Hit

Afyon Bld. Yuntas Women

THY Women

11 Oct, 13:00

Prediction for Afyon Bld. Yuntas Women — THY Women

Win: THY Women

72%probability

Eliteserien Women Hit

Viking TIF Women

Oksil Women

11 Oct, 12:00

Prediction for Viking TIF Women — Oksil Women

Win: Viking TIF Women

70%probability

1. Ligi Miss

Siran Akademi

Niksar

11 Oct, 11:00

Prediction for Siran Akademi — Niksar

Win: Siran Akademi

71%probability

Sultanlar Ligi Women Hit

Galatasaray Women

Nilüfer Belediyespor Women

11 Oct, 11:00

Prediction for Galatasaray Women — Nilüfer Belediyespor Women

Win: Galatasaray Women

71%probability

1. Ligi Hit

Ziraat Bankasi 2

Duzce

11 Oct, 11:00

Prediction for Ziraat Bankasi 2 — Duzce

Win: Duzce

63%probability

Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+

Model statistics

9212 hit
6347 missed
1282 Pending

Model calibration

50–59% 55% 2901 / 5196
60–69% 69% 2388 / 3440
70–79% 73% 1726 / 2346
80%+ 69% 610 / 875

How forecasts are made

We analyse team form, match statistics, head-to-head record and line-ups.
The model estimates the probability of each outcome (1X2).
A forecast is fixed before kick-off and is never changed afterwards.
Accuracy counts only finished events.

How a forecast is made

First the attacking and defensive strength of each side is worked out from matches played, adjusted for the opposition faced: goals against a bottom club and against a leader are not worth the same. Expected goals follow from those figures, and the outcome probabilities from them.

What data goes in

Match results from the past two years, weighted so that a recent game counts for more than one from last season. League position, head-to-head history and, in football, the average bookmakers' line. Injuries and suspensions are gathered separately and appear in the write-up.

What the probability means

Sixty per cent means that, were the match played many times over, the outcome would come up in roughly six cases out of ten. In four it would not — and that is not an error in the calculation but the nature of an estimate.

Limits of a forecast

The calculation knows nothing that is not in the data: a coach dismissed on the eve, the weather, a side rested before a European tie. For clubs with two or three matches behind them there is not enough to go on at all, and no forecast is made.