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Padres vs Brewers: match prediction on 7 October 2026
Padres
Brewers
Prediction for
Win: Brewers
63%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
37%
1
63%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 5 Oct, 02:45- Падрес, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Брюэрс, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Падрес — 0, Брюэрс — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Padres
WLLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Brewers
WWLWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 3
0Padres
0Draw
3Brewers
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 5 Oct, 02:45The Brewers take this one. They are on a five-match winning streak, they have won both meetings on 04.10.2026 on their own patch, and the model puts them ahead on expected goals. The Padres have lost two of their last five
The Brewers have not dropped points in their last five outings. They have scored 24 and conceded 15 across those matches, which gives them a positive differential. Their last defeat came on 22.09.2026, a 4:6 loss to the Phillies away from home. Since then they have won five straight, including victories over the Cardinals at home on 25.09, 26.09 and 27.09.
The Padres sit at three wins and two losses in their last five. They have netted 26 goals and let in 12. Their recent run includes a 3:4 and a 2:3 loss to the Brewers on 04.10.2026, both away fixtures. Before those defeats they had beaten the Cubs 4:1 and 8:0 at home on 01.10 and 30.09.
The head-to-head record is clean. Two matches have been played between these sides, both on 04.10.2026, both at Milwaukee, and the Brewers won both. The scores were 4:3 and 3:2. The Padres have not taken a point from Milwaukee in this period.
The model expects the Brewers to score 4.7 goals and the Padres 4.2. The probability of a draw is listed at 0%. Both teams scoring is also 0%. Three or more goals in the match is 0%.
A draw suits the Padres — and given how they have struggled to finish games away from home, that is the main threat to this prediction.
The Brewers are the side to back here. They have won their last five matches, they have swept the Padres in two meetings on 04.10.2026, and the model gives them the edge in expected goals.
Milwaukee have not dropped points in their last five outings. They have scored 24 and conceded 15 across those matches. Their last defeat came on 22.09.2026, a 4:6 loss to the Phillies away from home. Since then they have won five straight, including victories over the Cardinals at home on 25.09, 26.09 and 27.09.
The Padres sit at three wins and two losses in their last five. They have netted 26 goals and let in 12. Their recent run includes a 3:4 and a 2:3 loss to the Brewers on 04.10.2026, both away fixtures. Before those defeats they had beaten the Cubs 4:1 and 8:0 at home on 01.10 and 30.09.
The head-to-head record is clean. Two matches have been played between these sides, both on 04.10.2026, both at Milwaukee, and the Brewers won both. The scores were 4:3 and 3:2. The Padres have not taken a point from Milwaukee in this period.
The model expects the Brewers to score 4.7 goals and the Padres 4.2. The probability of a draw is listed at 0%. Both teams scoring is also 0%. Three or more goals in the match is 0%.
A draw suits the Padres — and given how they have struggled to finish games away from home, that is the main threat to this prediction.