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Phillies vs Rays: match prediction on 27 September 2026

MLB Citizens Bank Park Philadelphia Miss Match page
Phillies Rays

Prediction for

Win: Rays

52%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

48% 1
52% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 25 Sep, 20:15

Phillies win 7-3 against Rays

The Philadelphia Phillies defeated the Tampa Bay Rays 7-3 in their final home meeting of the series on Sunday. The result corrected the outcome from the previous day, where the Phillies had lost 1-12 at Citizens Bank Park. The visitors failed to replicate their offensive output from the previous day, allowing the home side to control the latter stages of the contest.

The Phillies improved their recent record to two wins and three losses over their last five games, following a 1-4 start to that sequence. The Rays shifted from a 3-2 advantage in the previous five-match window to a 2-3 deficit after the loss. Both teams had scored 23 runs and conceded 23 in their respective five-game runs before this match.

The match concluded with the home team securing their first victory in this series since September 25, when they lost 0-2 in Tampa.

The Phillies have now won two of the last three meetings in this series, while the Rays have lost two of their last three away games against Philadelphia.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 25 Sep, 20:15
  • Филлис, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Рэйс, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Phillies LLLWL 1 win · 4 losses
Rays LLWWL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 2

0Phillies 0Draw 2Rays
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+