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Rays vs Astros: match prediction on 12 September 2026

MLB Tropicana Field St. Petersburg Miss Match page
Rays Astros

Prediction for

Win: Astros

51%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

49% 1
51% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 10 Sep, 23:26

The Rays defeated the Houston Astros 3-1 on Saturday night at Tropicana Field. The result extended the Rays' winning streak against their divisional rivals and secured their third victory in five recent outings. The Astros suffered their second loss in as many days against Tampa Bay, dropping their record to two wins and three losses over their last five games.

Tampa Bay controlled the game from the outset. The Astros, averaging 3.6 runs per game in their recent form, failed to match that output, managed just one.

Both teams entered the game with mixed records. The Rays had won three of their last five games, including a dominant 7-1 victory over the Braves and a 7-2 win in the same series. Conversely, the Astros had struggled, losing three of their previous five games, including a heavy 11-7 loss to the Phillies.

This result followed the teams' meeting on 11 September, where the Rays also won 3-1.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 10 Sep, 23:26
  • Рейс, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Хьюстон Астрос, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Rays LWWWD 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Astros WLLLW 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 2

2Rays 0Draw 0Astros
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+