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Yankees vs Mets: match prediction on 13 September 2026

MLB Yankee Stadium New York City Pending Match page
Yankees Mets

Prediction for

Win: Yankees

76%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

76% 1
24% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 18:53

The Yankees defeated the Mets 6–4 in a contest played at Yankee Stadium on 13 September 2026. This result extended the Yankees' winning streak over their rivals to two consecutive games, following their 6–4 victory on 11 September 2026.

Both teams entered the match with identical recent records of four wins and one defeat in their previous five games. The Yankees had scored 30 runs while conceding 15 during that period, whereas the Mets had tallied 39 runs and conceded 31. The Yankees' home form had been particularly strong, having won their last four games at Yankee Stadium, including the previous meeting against the Mets.

The prediction model had anticipated a total of nine runs, projecting a 5.5-run total for the Yankees and 3.7 for the Mets. The model also indicated a 0% probability for a tie or for both teams to score, a scenario that proved incorrect as both sides found the net. The actual total of 10 runs exceeded the model's aggregate estimate of 9.2.

The Mets' defeat ended their four-game winning streak in their last five outings, contrasting with the Yankees' consistent performance at home.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 18:53
  • Янки, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Метс, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Yankees LWWWW 4 wins · 1 loss
Mets WWWWL 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 1

1Yankees 0Draw 0Mets
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+