IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Match report

Valur Reykjavik and IBV Vestmannaeyjar played out a 1-1 draw in the Úrvalsdeild Relegation Group on Sunday. The result leaves the visitors second on 30 points while the hosts remain sixth with 18 from 23 games.

IBV took the lead through M. Edeland in the 80th minute. It was a late strike that seemed to settle the match into a familiar pattern — home side pushing for a win they'd deserved for most of the afternoon.

And here's the thing about football: you never know when the balance shifts. K. Arnarsson equalised for Valur in 90+2 minutes, a moment that changed everything. By then the home side had already committed bodies forward and left space behind.

Valur controlled possession at 54 per cent and created more big chances — two compared to one. But shots tell a different story: IBV registered seven on target against Valur's five, though accuracy sat at 35 per cent for the hosts versus 38 for the visitors.

The table doesn't lie, though it doesn't tell the whole story either. Valur sit eight points clear of sixth place with a game in hand, while IBV face a tough run-in after losing five of their last six away from home.

We'd backed the hosts at 51 per cent confidence before kickoff. The match went another way — a late equaliser from a side that pressed higher up the pitch and rode their luck when it mattered most.

Prepared from match data

Key numbers

Possession, % 46 – 54

Shots on target 7 – 5

Shots off target 11 – 4

Big chances 1 – 2

⇄ 6' F. Fridriksson — Substitution 🟨 35' S. Veseli — Yellow card ⇄ 46' A. Vokes — Substitution ⇄ 59' S. Veseli — Substitution 🟨 67' M. Veldman — Yellow card 🟨 68' R. Hlynsson — Yellow card 🟨 70' H. Thordarson — Yellow card 🟨 70' V. Valor — Yellow card 🟨 79' S. Fridjonsson — Yellow card ⚽ 80' M. Edeland — Goal ⇄ 81' H. Thordarson — Substitution ⇄ 81' R. Hlynsson — Substitution 🟨 82' A. Hilmarsson — Yellow card ⚽ 90+2' K. Arnarsson — Goal

Match events

6' 0:0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar Substitution F. Fridriksson off: S. Kristjansson
35' 0:0 Valur Reykjavík Yellow card S. Veseli
46' 0:0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar Substitution A. Vokes off: S. Hardarson
59' 0:0 Valur Reykjavík Substitution S. Veseli off: P. Pedersen
67' 0:0 Valur Reykjavík Yellow card M. Veldman
68' 0:0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar Yellow card R. Hlynsson
70' 0:0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar Yellow card H. Thordarson
70' 0:0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar Yellow card V. Valor
79' 0:0 Valur Reykjavík Yellow card S. Fridjonsson
80' 1:0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar Goal M. Edeland assist: A. Hilmarsson
81' 1:0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar Substitution H. Thordarson off: L. Jeffs
81' 1:0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar Substitution R. Hlynsson off: M. Tomic
82' 1:0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar Yellow card A. Hilmarsson
90+2' 1:1 Valur Reykjavík Goal K. Arnarsson assist: P. Pedersen

Statistics

46 Possession, % 54

7 Shots on target 5

11 Shots off target 4

1 Big chances 2

74 Attacks 75

7 Corners 1

11 Fouls 19

18 Free kicks 10

0 Offsides 2

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

7 Goal kicks 14

18 Throw-ins 16

All statistics

10/2343% Aerial duels 12/2255%

67 Backward passes 74

2 Blocked shots 4

16 Clearances 26

9/2733% Crosses 3/1718%

8/1650% Dribbles 10/3033%

81 Failed passes 58

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

11 Interceptions 15

17 Key passes 12

24/6537% Long passes 20/3853%

75 Passes into the final third 84

199 Passes in the opposition half 215

188 Passes in own half 233

0.35 Shot accuracy 0.38

11 Shots inside the box 7

19/2770% Tackles 10/1377%

360 Total passes 431

Match prediction: IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Valur Reykjavík

Win: IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Confidence 51%

Reasoning

ИБВ Вестманнаэйяр — 6. place, 18 points after 23 games (4 wins, 6 draws, 13 losses)
Валюр Рейкьявик — 2. place, 30 points after 23 games (9 wins, 3 draws, 11 losses)
ИБВ Вестманнаэйяр, last 5 games: 0 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses
Валюр Рейкьявик, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
Head-to-head: 8 games, ИБВ Вестманнаэйяр — 2, Валюр Рейкьявик — 6

Full prediction

Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+

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