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Ankara Kolejliler vs Darussafaka: match prediction on 12 September 2026

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Ankara Kolejliler Darussafaka

Prediction for

Win: Ankara Kolejliler

54%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

54% 1
46% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 10 Sep, 12:02

Ankara Kolejliler are the side to back at home against Darussafaka on 12 September, and the model's edge in their favour—83.3 projected points to 79—suggests a 65% probability for that outcome.

Ankara's last five outings have produced one victory and four defeats, accumulating just three points while their scoring average sits at 79.6 per game against 91.0 conceded. The 97:88 triumph over CO Basket on 25 April was their only win, and since then they have lost three straight, including a 54:85 home defeat to Bordo Sportif on 2 May. They have failed to score under 80 points in any of those matches and have allowed more than 80 points in four of the five.

Darussafaka mirror that record with one win and four losses in their last five, also on three points. Their sole victory came in the 110:105 win over Ankara on 18 April, and they have since lost four straight, including heavy defeats to Gaziantep and Kocaeli. Their scoring average is 78.2 points per game with 89.2 conceded, and they have failed to reach 80 points in three of the five matches.

The two sides have met twice this season with each claiming a victory. Ankara won 81:67 at home on 26 December 2025, while Darussafaka reversed the result 110:105 in Ankara on 18 April. Both games featured close margins, and the combined scoring across the two fixtures totals 366 points, averaging 183 per game.

The model projects Ankara to edge the contest 83.3 to 79, a margin of 4.3 points. Draws are priced out. A split at 80 is off the table. The projected total of 162.3 points aligns with the 183 average from the previous two meetings, though the model accounts for Ankara's home advantage.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 10 Sep, 12:02
  • Анкара Колежилер, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Даруссафака, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Анкара Колежилер — 1, Даруссафака — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Ankara Kolejliler LLWLL 1 win · 4 losses
Darussafaka LLLWL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 2

1Ankara Kolejliler 0Draw 1Darussafaka
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+