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Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Prediction for
Win: Belgium Women
62%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 5
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 30 Aug, 06:18Belgium Women are expected to extend their recent dominance over Japan Women with a victory in this friendly international on 30 August 2026. The hosts are projected to score 80.1 points against 67.7 for the visitors, a comfortable margin consistent with Belgium's 78:77 win over Japan just two days earlier.
Belgium's form in their last five matches shows three victories and two defeats, with a total of 360 points scored and 351 conceded. Their most recent outing was a narrow 78:77 triumph over Japan, while they also beat Nigeria 90:55 away from home. The hosts lost 67:95 to Spain and 63:64 to Italy, suggesting they can be vulnerable against stronger opposition but tend to dominate weaker teams.
Japan have won two and lost three of their last five matches, scoring 370 points while conceding 394. They secured victories against South Korea at home—78:77 and 77:59—before suffering defeats to South Korea 60:86 and South Korea 78:94 away. Their recent loss to Belgium 77:78 continues a pattern of narrow margins in their encounters with the hosts.
Japan's last win came in 2021, when they edged Belgium 86:85 at home in the Olympics before losing 84:76 in a friendly that same month.
Belgium's dominance in recent meetings and their home advantage make them clear favourites.