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BG Göttingen vs Wolmirstedt: match prediction on 4 October 2026

Pro A Sparkassen-Arena Göttingen Miss Match page
BG Göttingen Wolmirstedt

Prediction for

Win: BG Göttingen

67%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

67% 1
33% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 2 Oct, 14:05

Wolmirstedt secured an 89–62 victory over BG Göttingen in the Pro A on 04 October 2026, extending their recent dominance in this fixture. The result marked a fifth consecutive defeat for the hosts, who have now failed to win in five matches across all competitions. Wolmirstedt controlled the game, scoring 89 points while limiting Göttingen to 62.

Form and recent history

The result reflected the contrasting trajectories of the two sides in the weeks leading up to the contest. Göttingen arrived with a record of zero wins, zero draws, and five losses in their last five games, having scored 379 points and conceded 456. Wolmirstedt, by contrast, had claimed three victories in their previous five outings, maintaining an even point tally of 374 for and against.

Head-to-head context

Wolmirstedt’s win completed a partial reversal in the historical balance between the clubs. In three meetings over recent years, Göttingen had won twice and lost once. However, the most recent encounter before this season’s opener had seen Göttingen defeat Wolmirstedt 96–90 on 31 January 2026, followed by Wolmirstedt’s 82–89 loss away from home on 12 January 2026. The latest result shifted the momentum decisively to the visitors, who also won the outcome of the head-to-head model’s expectations for this specific date, where Göttingen were projected as favourites with 90.7 expected points against Wolmirstedt’s 75.8.

Statistical indicators

On-court statistics revealed a disparity in rebounding that likely influenced the final margin. Over ten matches, Göttingen averaged 30.7 rebounds per game, compared to 37.7 for Wolmirstedt across seven fixtures. Both sides recorded similar figures in other categories: Göttingen averaged 30.7 three-point attempts and 16.2 assists, while Wolmirstedt posted 26.4 three-point attempts and 16.6 assists. Turnovers were nearly identical, with Göttingen at 13.2 and Wolmirstedt at 13.1 per match. The one-sided nature of the final scoreline was consistent with the model’s prediction of a 0% chance for a draw or both teams scoring zero points.

Service pick outcome

A betting service pick had predicted a Göttingen victory with 67% confidence prior to the match. The prediction was wrong, as the hosts’ five-game losing streak proved insurmountable against a Wolmirstedt side that had won three of its last five games. The result leaves Göttingen at the bottom of their recent form table, while Wolmirstedt continues to build momentum following their away win.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 2 Oct, 14:05
  • Гёттинген, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
  • Вольмирштедт, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Гёттинген — 2, Вольмирштедт — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

BG Göttingen LWWLW 3 wins · 2 losses
Wolmirstedt WWWWW 5 wins

Head to head 2

2BG Göttingen 0Draw 0Wolmirstedt
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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