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Brave Thunders vs Nagoya Diamond Dolphins: match prediction on 27 September 2026

B League Todoroki Arena Kawasaki Hit Match page
Brave Thunders Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

Prediction for

Win: Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

60%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

40% 1
60% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 25 Sep, 08:11

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins to win. and beat Brave Thunders 93:63 away from home just yesterday. The model predicts Nagoya will score 85.3 points to Brave Thunders' 75.

Brave Thunders have won two and lost three in their last five games, scoring 388 points while conceding 427. Nagoya have taken three wins from five, with 396 goals for and 386 against, but the gap between them shows in the margins. Nagoya average 31.5 successful field goals per game compared to Brave Thunders' 28.1. Their three-point shooting is tighter too, hitting 10.1 of 30.1 attempts against Brave Thunders' 8.8 of 28.2.

The head-to-head tells a clear story. Nagoya have won five of the last six meetings when both teams are listed. On 19 October 2025 they won 90:73 at Brave Thunders' home. Three days later they took 86:72. The only time Brave Thunders have won in this period was 9 April 2025, a narrow 73:70 victory.

The model expects Nagoya to outscore Brave Thunders by roughly ten points. Both teams average around 21 assists per game, but Nagoya hold a slight edge with 21.5 against 21. Brave Thunders commit more turnovers at 12.6 per game compared to Nagoya's 11.8. That difference matters in close quarters. Nagoya also pull more rebounds, 37.3 to 31.7, which gives them extra possessions.

A draw suits the visitors less than the hosts, but the model gives that outcome 0% probability. Brave Thunders would need to find rhythm from the three-pointer line or Nagoya would have to drop below their average output for this conclusion to no longer hold.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 25 Sep, 08:11
  • Брейв Тандерс, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Нагоя Даймонд Дольфины, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 10 games, Брейв Тандерс — 3, Нагоя Даймонд Дольфины — 7

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Brave Thunders LLWLW 2 wins · 3 losses
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins WWWWW 5 wins

Head to head 17

7Brave Thunders 0Draw 10Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+