Extraliga
SKP Bratislava
Tatran Presov
Prediction for SKP Bratislava — Tatran Presov
68%
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CD Puerto Varas vs Ancud: match prediction on 3 October 2026
CD Puerto Varas
Ancud
Prediction for
Win: CD Puerto Varas
57%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
57%
1
43%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 1 Oct, 00:30- Пуэрто-Варас — 3. place, 0 points after 12 games (7 wins, 5 losses)
- Анкуда — 6. place, 0 points after 12 games (4 wins, 8 losses)
- Пуэрто-Варас, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Анкуда, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 32 games, Пуэрто-Варас — 11, Анкуда — 21
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
CD Puerto Varas
LLLWL
1 win · 4 losses
Ancud
WLWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 40
17CD Puerto Varas
0Draw
23Ancud
- 29 SepAncud — CD Puerto Varas79:74
- 8 AugCD Puerto Varas — Ancud82:86
- 19 JulAncud — CD Puerto Varas90:84
- 12 MayCD Puerto Varas — Ancud75:74
- 10 MayAncud — CD Puerto Varas76:66
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 1 Oct, 00:30Ancud moved to sixth place with four wins and eight defeats after 12 matches, while Puerto Varas remained third after 12 games with seven wins and five losses. Ancud had won 21 of 32 encounters against Puerto Varas.
Puerto Varas entered the match with only one win in their previous five league games, scoring 372 points and conceding 413. Ancud, by contrast, had collected six points from two victories in the same period, scoring 378 points and conceding 410.
Ancud won three of the last six encounters, with Puerto Varas claiming three victories. In the four games played in 2026, Ancud took three wins: 79–74 at home on 28 September, 82–86 at Puerto Varas on 8 August, and 90–84 at home on 19 July. Puerto Varas' sole 2026 victory came 75–74 on 12 May. The aggregate record over the entire period remained 11 wins for Puerto Varas and 21 for Ancud.
Ancud's victory defied a statistical model that had projected 81.9 points for Puerto Varas and 76.2 for Ancud, suggesting a narrow advantage for the hosts. Ancud's reliance on three-point shooting—averaging 32.8 attempts per game—contrasted with Puerto Varas' 23.7 attempts, but the visitors shot well enough to secure victory.