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CD Puerto Varas vs Puente Alto CD: match prediction on 15 October 2026
CD Puerto Varas
Puente Alto CD
Prediction for
Win: CD Puerto Varas
58%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
58%
1
42%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 13 Oct, 00:05- Пуэрто-Варас — 3. place, 0 points after 12 games (7 wins, 5 losses)
- Пуэнте-Альто — 2. place, 0 points after 12 games (9 wins, 3 losses)
- Пуэрто-Варас, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Пуэнте-Альто, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 10 games, Пуэрто-Варас — 6, Пуэнте-Альто — 4
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
CD Puerto Varas
WLLLL
1 win · 4 losses
Puente Alto CD
WWWWL
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 12
8CD Puerto Varas
0Draw
4Puente Alto CD
- 8 OctPuente Alto CD — CD Puerto Varas89:76
- 3 May 2025Puente Alto CD — CD Puerto Varas67:75
- 27 Apr 2025CD Puerto Varas — Puente Alto CD72:69
- 26 Apr 2025CD Puerto Varas — Puente Alto CD94:60
- 13 Apr 2025CD Puerto Varas — Puente Alto CD91:88
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 13 Oct, 00:05Puente Alto CD to win again, backed by four victories in their last five matches and a 13-point victory over Puerto Varas just seven days ago.
The visitors arrive with momentum that the home side simply cannot match. Puente Alto CD have won four of their last five games, including an 89-76 win over Puerto Varas on 07.10.2026. That result came at their own venue, but it tells you everything about the current balance between these two sides. Puerto Varas, by contrast, have lost four of their last five outings, managing only a single victory against Ancud at home.
TeamLast 5PointsGoals CD Puerto Varas1W 0D 4L3398-436 Puente Alto CD CD4W 0D 1L12422-390
The table tells a similar story. Puente Alto CD sit second with nine wins from twelve matches, while Puerto Varas are third with seven victories. Both sides have yet to draw a game this season, which means every match has a result. The two-win gap between them reflects the quality difference, and Puente Alto's recent form suggests that gap is widening rather than closing.
PositionTeamWDL 2Puente Alto CD903 3CD Puerto Varas705
The head-to-head record over the past year is evenly split at six wins apiece, but that historical balance means little when one side is in crisis and the other is flying.
The model expects Puerto Varas to score 83.4 points and Puente Alto CD 77.5, but those figures come from raw scoring averages without accounting for current form. Puerto Varas have been outscored in four of their last five games, while Puente Alto have won four of five with comfortable margins. The statistical expectation cannot capture the psychological edge the visitors carry.
Puente Alto CD's away record is not strong — they have lost three of their twelve matches, all away — but their home form has been exceptional. They won four consecutive matches at their own venue in October, including the 89-76 victory over Puerto Varas. That same intensity on the road could prove decisive.
The prediction falls apart if Puerto Varas find their shooting touch. They average 63.3 field goals per game compared to Puente Alto CD's 65.2, but Puerto Varas have been below that average in recent defeats. If they return to their seasonal norms and Puente Alto's shooting drops, the visitors' advantage evaporates.