Champions League
Kolstad
HC Kriens-Luzern
Prediction for Kolstad — HC Kriens-Luzern
57%
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Deportivo Amambay vs San Alfonzo: match prediction on 18 September 2026
Deportivo Amambay
San Alfonzo
Prediction for
Win: Deportivo Amambay
66%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
66%
1
34%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 16 Sep, 00:13- Депортиво Амамбай — 5. place, 0 points after 14 games (6 wins, 8 losses)
- Сан Альфонсо — 8. place, 0 points after 14 games (1 wins, 13 losses)
- Депортиво Амамбай, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Сан Альфонсо, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, Депортиво Амамбай — 8, Сан Альфонсо — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Deportivo Amambay
WWWWL
4 wins · 1 loss
San Alfonzo
LLLLL
5 losses
Head to head 8
8Deportivo Amambay
0Draw
0San Alfonzo
- 21 AugSan Alfonzo — Deportivo Amambay67:81
- 11 JunDeportivo Amambay — San Alfonzo110:79
- 14 MayDeportivo Amambay — San Alfonzo108:68
- 21 AprSan Alfonzo — Deportivo Amambay48:79
- 27 Oct 2025Deportivo Amambay — San Alfonzo113:71
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 16 Sep, 00:13I see Deportivo Amambay as the clear favourite here. They have won every single meeting between the two sides over the past year. The model puts them 17 points ahead on expected output, and the head-to-head record leaves little room for doubt.
The Dominance Is Total
The most recent came on 21 August when they edged past San Alfonzo 81-67 in Asunción. The 20 April fixture saw them win 79-48, and the margin has never been anything less than comfortable. San Alfonzo have not registered a single win across all these meetings.
Form Shows The Gap
Amambay's last five matches brought two wins and three losses. They beat Deportivo Campoalto 60-42 away on 14 September and Capiata Bulls 114-75 at home on 10 September. The losses came against Dep. San Jose (71-90), Olimpia Kings (76-79), and Colonias Gold (72-80). San Alfonzo managed just one victory in their last five games, a 126-89 win away at Capiata Bulls on 4 September. The other four matches ended in defeats, including a 48-94 loss at home to Olimpia Kings on 14 September and a 45-90 hammering by Colonias Gold on 31 August.
The Numbers Don't Lie
Amambay average 74.3 points per match compared to San Alfonzo's 64.4. The model expects 87.8 for the hosts and 70.7 for the visitors. Amambay also dominate on the boards with 43.3 rebounds per game against 30.0 for the visitors. Their turnover rate is lower at 13.9 versus 17.7, and they generate more blocks with 3.8 compared to 2.4. The table positions reflect this — Amambay fifth with six wins, San Alfonzo eighth with just one.
Where This Could Go Wrong
A draw suits the visitors in no meaningful way, but the model gives a 0% probability for that outcome anyway. The real risk would be if San Alfonzo somehow managed to keep Amambay under 80 points — something they've never done in these meetings. If the home side starts poorly or lets the visitors find a rhythm from distance, the expected 17-point gap could shrink. No scenario supports a home loss.