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Prediction for Kolstad — HC Kriens-Luzern
57%
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Felix Perez Cardozo vs Deportivo Amambay: match prediction on 25 September 2026
Felix Perez Cardozo
Deportivo Amambay
Prediction for
Win: Deportivo Amambay
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
48%
1
52%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 23 Sep, 00:31- Феликс Перес Кардосо — 4. place, 0 points after 14 games (8 wins, 6 losses)
- Депортиво Амабай — 5. place, 0 points after 14 games (6 wins, 8 losses)
- Феликс Перес Кардосо, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Депортиво Амабай, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 6 games, Феликс Перес Кардосо — 3, Депортиво Амабай — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Felix Perez Cardozo
WLLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Deportivo Amambay
LWWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 6
3Felix Perez Cardozo
0Draw
3Deportivo Amambay
- 26 MayDeportivo Amambay — Felix Perez Cardozo81:92
- 1 MayFelix Perez Cardozo — Deportivo Amambay99:74
- 12 Oct 2025Felix Perez Cardozo — Deportivo Amambay69:84
- 14 Sep 2025Deportivo Amambay — Felix Perez Cardozo61:58
- 21 May 2025Felix Perez Cardozo — Deportivo Amambay95:74
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 23 Sep, 00:31Deportivo Amambay to win. The visitors have turned their season around with four victories in five matches, while Felix Perez Cardozo have lost three of their last five games. The model expects Deportivo Amambay to score 81.7 points against 79.1 for the hosts, and the recent form supports that projection.
Form gap
Felix Perez Cardozo collected 374 points across their last five games, conceding 437. Their record reads 2 wins, 3 losses with no draws. The most recent result was a 68:83 defeat away at Campoalto on 21 September. Before that came a 88:76 home victory over Capiata Bulls on 17 September, followed by a 73:90 loss at Dep. San Jose on 14 September.
Deportivo Amambay scored 469 points in the same period, giving up 385. Four wins and one loss, also without a draw. Their latest match was a 85:70 home win against Colonias Gold on 21 September. They beat San Alfonzo 101:67 at home on 17 September, won 98:83 away at Deportivo Campoalto on 14 September, and defeated Capiata Bulls 114:75 at home on 10 September. The only blemish was a 71:90 away loss to Dep. San Jose on 8 September.
Head-to-head balance
The two sides have met six times in recent years with three victories each. The most recent encounter on 25 May 2026 saw Deportivo Amambay lose 81:92 at home to Felix Perez Cardozo. Before that, Félix Pérez Cardozo won 99:74 at home on 30 April 2026.
The earlier meetings show a pattern of contests. Deportivo Amambay won 61:58 at home on 13 September 2025, Felix Perez Cardozo triumphed 95:74 at home on 20 May 2025, and Deportivo Amambay edged 85:78 at home on 2 May 2025.
Statistical edge
Deportivo Amambay average 43.7 rebounds per game compared to Felix Perez Cardozo's 36.7. The visitors also record 13.4 offensive rebounds against 9.3 for the hosts, giving them more second-chance opportunities. Deportivo Amambay make 10.0 steals per game versus 6.8 for Félix Pérez Cardozo, creating more turnover situations.
Felix Perez Cardozo shoot 44.3% from the field compared to Deportivo Amambay's 41.9%. The hosts convert 81.1% of their free throws while the visitors manage 66.3%. However, Deportivo Amambay's higher volume of attempts (73.8 field goal attempts versus 67.7) and their rebounding advantage offset the efficiency difference.
Model projection
The model expects Deportivo Amambay to score 81.7 points and Felix Perez Cardozo 79.1.
Conditions for failure
This conclusion stops holding if Felix Perez Cardozo can improve their shooting efficiency above their season average and exploit Deportivo Amambay's weaker free-throw conversion rate. A strong home performance from the hosts, combined with a regression in Deportivo Amambay's scoring output, would undermine the prediction.