Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Prediction for
Win: Lobos Plateados
52%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 1
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 29 Aug, 10:40Lobos Plateados to win on 31 August. The visitors have taken four of their last five matches, while Gambusinos have lost three in that same span. The model puts Lobos Plateados ahead by 2.2 points, and the gap in recent results is the clearest indicator.
Gambusinos have won two and lost three in their last five games. They scored 390 points and conceded 412 across those matches. Their last result was a 73-77 defeat at home to Freseros de Irapuato on 25 August. Before that they won 82-74 away against Fuerza Regia de Monterrey on 20 August. The form has been inconsistent, with losses on 21 August, 25 August and 26 August.
Lobos Plateados have won four of their last five matches. They scored 476 points and conceded 428 in that period. Their most recent game was a 90-91 home loss to Fuerza Regia de Monterrey on 26 August. They beat Diablos Rojos 95-84 away on 22 August and 89-88 away on 21 August. They also won 104-77 at home against Dorados on 16 August.
The model expects Lobos Plateados to score 83.1 points and Gambusinos 80.9. The draw probability is listed at 0%. Lobos Plateados average 28.8 field goals made from 61 attempts over their last ten matches. Gambusinos average 26.88 from 64.38 attempts over eight matches.
This prediction does not hold if Gambusinos turn their form around in this fixture. A win for the home side on 31 August would contradict the current trajectory. The model's confidence sits at 52%, which reflects how close the expected margins are. Lobos Plateados have the edge in results but the gap between teams is narrow.