Gunma Crane Thunders vs Altiri Chiba: match prediction on 24 September 2026

Gunma Crane Thunders to win by at least 15 points. The gap in recent form and the head-to-head record point to a comfortable home victory, with the model projecting 91.2 points against 64 for the visitors.

Gunma have won three of their last five matches, dropping only two games. Their most recent outings show a pattern of resilience: a 19-point victory on 9 May, followed by back-to-back losses away to Chiba on 10 and 11 May. Before that came two narrow home wins over Sendai 89ers, both decided by a single point. They have scored 404 points and conceded 393 across those five games.

Altiri Chiba's form tells a different story. One win from five matches, four defeats, and they have been outscored 437 to 390. Their solitary victory came away at Sun Rockers Shibuya on 26 April, 87 to 85. Since then they have lost three straight on the road, including heavy defeats against Gunma themselves — 87 to 96 and 81 to 98 in April. At home they managed only 66 points in a 13-point loss to Ibaraki Robots on 22 April.

The head-to-head record over the past year is entirely one-sided. On 1 April 2026, Gunma beat Altiri 84 to 59 at home — a 25-point margin. Earlier, on 5 November 2025, Altiri hosted and still lost, 79 to 88. Gunma have now won both meetings, with the combined scoreline reading 163 to 147 in their favour.

These projections align with the recent pattern: Gunma consistently score in the low 80s, while Altiri have struggled to break 90 in any of their last five outings.

Altiri's effective shooting percentage averages 67.9% over the last ten matches, compared to Gunma's 63.2%. Gunma's superior form and head-to-head dominance make them the clear pick for this matchup.