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Huima vs Lappeenrannan NMKY: match prediction on 15 October 2026
Huima
Lappeenrannan NMKY
Prediction for
Win: Huima
61%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
61%
1
39%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 13 Oct, 16:45- Уйма, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Лаппеэнранта НМКИ, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Уйма — 3, Лаппеэнранта НМКИ — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Huima
WWLWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Lappeenrannan NMKY
LLLLL
5 losses
Head to head 4
3Huima
0Draw
1Lappeenrannan NMKY
- 27 FebLappeenrannan NMKY — Huima69:78
- 5 Dec 2025Huima — Lappeenrannan NMKY77:100
- 30 Jan 2025Lappeenrannan NMKY — Huima77:91
- 8 Nov 2024Huima — Lappeenrannan NMKY96:92
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 13 Oct, 16:45Huima win is the prediction, with 61% confidence. The visitors have not won a single game in five attempts, while the home side has taken nine points from the same number of fixtures. The model expects Huima to score 84.2 points and Lappeenrannan NMKY 76.6, a gap of nearly eight points that aligns with the recent record.
Form tells the story
Huima have won three of their last five matches, losing two. Their scoring average sits at 81.4 points per game, with 78.2 conceded. They beat Lappeenrannan NMKY 78:69 away on 27 February and lost narrowly at home to HBA-Marsky Helsinki 73:84 in March. The most recent outing was a 94:86 defeat in Jyvaskyla on 9 October, but that came against a side that has not matched the visitors' winless run.
Lappeenrannan NMKY have lost all five of their last matches. They have scored 65.6 points per game while conceding 84.6. The results include a 51:83 home loss to ACO Basket and a 71:81 home defeat to Karkkila. They have not scored more than 81 points in any of those five games, and their highest concession was 101 against Helsingin NMKY on 8 March.
Head-to-head is balanced
The four meetings between these sides have produced two wins each. Huima won 96:92 at home in November 2024 and 91:77 away in January 2025. Lappeenrannan NMKY responded with a 100:77 victory at home in December 2025, before losing 78:69 away in February this year. The head-to-head record shows a split, but the visitors have not won away from home in this fixture.
Model expectations
The simulation gives Huima a 0% chance of a draw and 0% probability that both teams will score. The 3+ point spread probability is also 0%, indicating the model sees a decisive result. The expected points total of 160.8 fits the scoring patterns seen in recent meetings, where three of the four games produced margins of eight points or more.
What breaks the prediction
Lappeenrannan NMKY would need to outperform their recent form to win. If they score 85 or more points and hold Huima below 80, the conclusion no longer holds. Given their recent scoring ceiling of 81 points and defensive record of 84.6 conceded per game, that scenario would demand a significant shift from their current form.