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Las Vegas Aces Women vs Indiana Fever Women: match prediction on 2 October 2026

NBA Women Michelob ULTRA Arena Paradise Miss Match page
Las Vegas Aces Women Indiana Fever Women

Prediction for

Win: Las Vegas Aces Women

54%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

54% 1
46% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 2 Oct, 01:10

The match data provided does not contain the result of the game played on 2 October 2026. The dataset includes pre-match statistics, form guides, and head-to-head records, but it does not record the final score or the outcome of this specific fixture. Consequently, it is impossible to state which team won or by what margin.

Pre-match context

Both sides entered the fixture on equal footing in the standings, with Las Vegas Aces and Indiana Fever Women each occupying third place after 44 matches. Las Vegas held a superior record of 31 wins and 13 defeats, while Indiana Fever Women sat on 28 wins and 16 losses. Recent form suggested a tight contest; Las Vegas had taken four wins from their last five games, whereas Indiana had won two and lost three in the same period.

Historical trends

Head-to-head history showed a balance of results, with Las Vegas holding a slight edge in overall encounters over recent years, winning 13 out of 20 matches. The two teams had already played twice in September 2026, with Indiana winning at home 99-89 and Las Vegas responding with a 102-85 victory at their own venue. A statistical model predicted a close margin, estimating 92.8 points for Las Vegas and 90.5 for Indiana.

Statistical comparison

Averages from the previous ten matches indicated similar output levels. Las Vegas averaged 67.8 field goal attempts compared to Indiana’s 68.8. These figures describe performance up to that point and do not confirm how they translated into the game on 2 October.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 2 Oct, 01:10
  • Лас-Вегас Эйс — 3. place, 0 points after 44 games (31 wins, 13 losses)
  • Индиана Фивер (женщины) — 3. place, 0 points after 44 games (28 wins, 16 losses)
  • Лас-Вегас Эйс, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Индиана Фивер (женщины), last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 20 games, Лас-Вегас Эйс — 13, Индиана Фивер (женщины) — 7

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Las Vegas Aces Women LWLLL 1 win · 4 losses
Indiana Fever Women WLLWL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 27

20Las Vegas Aces Women 0Draw 7Indiana Fever Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+