Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Lobos Plateados vs Abejas: match prediction on 17 September 2026
Lobos Plateados
Abejas
Prediction for
Win: Lobos Plateados
56%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
56%
1
44%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 15 Sep, 03:13- Лобос Платадос, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Абехас, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Лобос Платадос — 1, Абехас — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Lobos Plateados
WWLLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Abejas
LWLLL
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 3
2Lobos Plateados
0Draw
1Abejas
- 16 SepLobos Plateados — Abejas91:87
- 20 Sep 2024Abejas — Lobos Plateados92:97
- 19 Sep 2024Abejas — Lobos Plateados92:86
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 15 Sep, 03:13Lobos Plateados win. The model expects 87 points to 80.6 and gives a 0% chance of a draw.
The home side's form has been steadier. Abejas lost three straight after that solitary win against Fuerza Regia de Monterrey, dropping 83:87 and 74:86 to Gambusinos at home before the defeat on 16 September.
Lobos Plateados won 97:92 in Cancún on 20 September 2024, but Abejas responded with a 92:86 victory at home three days earlier.
Lobos scored 412 points and conceded 399 across their last five matches, a positive differential. Abejas scored 404 and conceded 434 over the same span. That expectation rests on the hosts' home advantage and their more reliable recent output.
A draw would overturn this conclusion. If Abejas hold the game tight through disciplined defence and Lobos fail to close out a lead in the final minutes, the model's 0% draw probability becomes irrelevant. Injuries or tactical shifts could still derail the projection.
The probability would drop if Abejas showed signs of breaking their losing pattern before kickoff.