Neptūnas Klaipėda Women vs Liepajas Papirs/LSSS Women: match prediction on 13 October 2026

Neptūnas Klaipėda Women are the clear favourites against Liepājas Papīrs/LSSS Women on Tuesday. The head-to-head record across the past three years is overwhelming: Neptūnas have won all six meetings since the start of 2024, with an average margin of 24.5 points. The model expects them to score 82.5 points against Liepājas's 62.9. Neptūnas are the pick with 85 per cent confidence. Liepājas would need to shoot significantly above their season average while Neptūnas fall well short of their expected 82.5 for that to happen.

Both sides have followed identical patterns in their last five matches. Neptūnas have won two and lost three, scoring 387 points while conceding 436. Liepājas have the same record, with 325 scored and 345 conceded. Recent results show Neptūnas beat LCC 104:84 at home before losing 76:102 away to Kibirkštis MRU Vilnius. Liepājas won 87:62 away at LCC and lost 62:75 at home to RSU Merks. Form alone does not separate them.

Where the two teams meet, the outcome is predictable. On 22 March 2025 Neptūnas won 83:58 in Liepājas, and on 20 March they won 73:43 away. Earlier meetings include 71:41 and 79:33 victories for the Lithuanian side. This is not a rivalry; it is a one-sided fixture.

A win for Liepājas would require them to exceed their expected output by at least 20 points while Neptūnas score below 75. That is not impossible, but it would contradict every data point from the past three years. Liepājas have shown they can win games, as their two victories in five recent matches prove, but those wins have come against opponents with no connection to Neptūnas's dominance. Without team news on injuries or suspensions, individual absences cannot be factored in, and the head-to-head evidence remains strong.