Polonia Warszawa vs Lancut: match prediction on 21 September 2026

Lancut to win by a narrow margin. The model projects 83.3 points for the visitors against 83.2 for the hosts, a difference of 0.1 points. Lancut have won two of three meetings, including the most recent encounter on 28 February where they edged through 100:99.

The form records are identical. Polonia have taken six points from five matches — two wins, three losses — while Lancut have done the same. Both sides have played without a draw in their last five outings. Polonia's scoring average sits at 78 points per game, Lancut's at 87.8. The visitors attack more freely, but they also concede more: 453 points against across five matches compared to Polonia's 387.

The three meetings produced margins of one, nine, and eleven points. The most recent fixture on 28 February 2026 ended 100:99 in Lancut's favour at their own court. Polonia's only victory came on 23 October 2024, when they won 75:64 away.

The model's projection is the best guide. The model's figure suggests a game decided by possession in the final minutes rather than a commanding performance.

If the visitors cannot match their attacking output from home games, the model's narrow edge disappears.