Saga Ballooners vs Hiroshima Dragonflies: match prediction on 27 September 2026

Hiroshima Dragonflies to win. They have won five of the last six meetings and came away from Saga's floor just two days ago with a 100:87 victory, so the visitors carry momentum even though their last five games yield only one win. Saga is projected at 84.9 and Hiroshima at 83.1, a narrow margin that reflects recent results rather than any long-term superiority.

Saga Ballooners have found more success in their last five outings, taking three wins from five matches. Their only recent setback came against Hiroshima on 25 September, when they fell 87:100 at home. Before that they beat Akita twice, both away, 87:70 and 85:72, but lost both encounters with Ryukyu Golden Kings on the road, 91:96 and 78:92. They have scored 428 points and conceded 430 across those five games.

Hiroshima's record in the same window is far worse. One win, four losses, 422 points for and 455 against. The win came against Saga on 25 September, 100:87 away. They lost both home games against Toyama Grouses, 91:101 and 89:96, and both away trips to Chiba, 74:88 and 68:83. The visitors have not won a match anywhere else since that victory over the hosts.

In ten meetings over the past two years Saga won three, Hiroshima seven. The last six have gone to Hiroshima five times, with only the 13 October 2024 encounter ending 90:81 to Saga. Hiroshima also won 91:79 and 114:92 at home in October 2024, and 79:74 and 95:91 at Saga in December 2024.

No standings are available to place either side in the table, and no injury reports have surfaced. The model expects 84.9 points for Saga and 83.1 for Hiroshima, with a 0% chance of a draw. The margin is so slim that a single strong quarter from Hiroshima or a cold shooting night from Saga would flip the result.