TalTech vs Fyllingen Basket: match prediction on 23 September 2026

TalTech win this ENBL encounter. The Estonian side have been the stronger unit in recent weeks, winning four of their last five matches, while the Norwegian visitors have taken three wins from five. The model projects TalTech to score 91.8 points against 75.8 for Fyllingen Basket, and the analyst's pick carries 64% confidence.

Home advantage and momentum

TalTech's record over their past five games reads 4-1-0, accumulating 12 points with 424 points scored and 406 conceded. They beat Parnu 97-77 at home on 17 May, followed by a 79-72 victory away on 15 May. Their only defeat came against Bigbank/Kalev, losing 82-95 at home on 8 May. They went on to win 78-77 away at the same opposition three days later. The pattern shows resilience away from home and consistency in close games.

Visitors' mixed run

Fyllingen Basket have won three and lost two in their last five fixtures, gathering nine points with 434 scored and 439 conceded. They lost 68-80 at home to Gimle BBK on 20 September, after beating them 80-76 at home on 30 April. They won 89-87 away on 27 April but dropped points in a 105-107 home loss on 23 April. Their away win against Gimle BBK was 92-89 on 21 April. The results suggest inconsistency, particularly at home where they have dropped two points.

Head-to-head history

The two sides have met once before, on 16 December 2025, when TalTech won 89-71 away in Bergen. That was the only recorded encounter between them. The result gives the Estonian side psychological advantage, having already proven they can beat Fyllingen Basket on Norwegian soil. The 18-point margin suggests TalTech were not just fortunate but genuinely superior that day.

Model projections and risk factors

The statistical model expects TalTech to outscore Fyllingen Basket by approximately 16 points, with a 0% probability of a draw and 0% chance of both teams scoring.