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Toronto Raptors vs New York Knicks: match prediction on 14 October 2026
Toronto Raptors
New York Knicks
Prediction for
Win: New York Knicks
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
47%
1
53%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 12 Oct, 00:05- Торонто Рэпторс, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Нью-Йорк Никс, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 17 games, Торонто Рэпторс — 3, Нью-Йорк Никс — 14
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Toronto Raptors
LLWWL
2 wins · 3 losses
New York Knicks
LLLLW
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 26
8Toronto Raptors
0Draw
18New York Knicks
- 16 OctNew York Knicks — Toronto Raptors122:120
- 11 AprNew York Knicks — Toronto Raptors112:95
- 4 MarToronto Raptors — New York Knicks95:111
- 29 JanToronto Raptors — New York Knicks92:119
- 10 Dec 2025Toronto Raptors — New York Knicks101:117
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 12 Oct, 00:05# Knicks Set to Extend Dominance Over Struggling Raptors
New York Knicks to win — 72% confidence
The Knicks have not lost to Toronto since February 2025 and carry that momentum into tonight's clash. Five consecutive victories in the last six meetings, including a 112:95 triumph on 10 April, underline a clear hierarchy between these sides. Toronto's recent form offers little reason to doubt that pattern will continue.
The Raptors have won three of their last five matches but lost their most recent outing 105:129 at home to Miami. Those results include two Summer League victories and one loss in Las Vegas, with the NBA games showing mixed fortunes. The 8-point margin against Miami suggests defensive vulnerabilities that New York's offence could exploit.
New York's record is stark. They have lost five straight games, including defeats to Minnesota 104:122, Washington 109:111, and Philadelphia 97:120. The 25-point loss to the Timberwolves and the 23-point hammering in Philadelphia reveal a team struggling to contain opponents. Their only Summer League win came against Detroit 86:75 — a result that does little to inspire confidence.
The head-to-head numbers tell the fuller story. Since the start of the 2024-25 season, the Knicks have won 14 of 17 encounters. The last five meetings all ended in New York victories, with margins ranging from 14 points to 27 points. Toronto's sole win in that span came on 30 November 2025 when they edged the Knicks 116:94 at home — but that was six months ago.
The model projects New York to score 111 points against Toronto's 108.9. That 2.1-point differential aligns with the recent trend of narrow Knicks victories. Both teams average over 100 points per game in their recent fixtures, suggesting an open contest rather than a defensive struggle.
A draw suits neither side in this context. Toronto needs to prove they can compete with the Knicks' pace, while New York requires confidence after their losing streak.
This conclusion stops holding if Kawhi Leonard plays a decisive role for Toronto. The Raptors' captain signed a two-year extension and their coach stated he would complement the young squad. If Leonard delivers a performance above his season average, the Raptors could overcome the historical disadvantage. Otherwise, the Knicks extend their winning streak.