Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Washington Mystics Women vs Chicago Sky Women: match prediction on 25 September 2026
Washington Mystics Women
Chicago Sky Women
Prediction for
Win: Washington Mystics Women
57%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
56%
1
44%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 23 Sep, 00:31- Вашингтон Мистикс (жен.) — 3. place, 0 points after 42 games (26 wins, 16 losses)
- Чикаго Скай — 5. place, 0 points after 42 games (15 wins, 27 losses)
- Вашингтон Мистикс (жен.), last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Чикаго Скай, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
- Head-to-head: 14 games, Вашингтон Мистикс (жен.) — 12, Чикаго Скай — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Washington Mystics Women
LWWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Chicago Sky Women
LLLWL
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 22
16Washington Mystics Women
0Draw
6Chicago Sky Women
- 18 SepChicago Sky Women — Washington Mystics Women80:110
- 3 JunWashington Mystics Women — Chicago Sky Women90:72
- 6 Aug 2025Chicago Sky Women — Washington Mystics Women78:64
- 30 Jul 2025Washington Mystics Women — Chicago Sky Women103:86
- 8 Jul 2025Washington Mystics Women — Chicago Sky Women81:79
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 23 Sep, 00:31Mystics to win. Washington's form and head-to-head record make this straightforward — they have won four of their last five and dominated the Sky 5-1 in six meetings. Chicago are on a poor run of one win from five, and the model puts their expected points at 86.8 to 80.6.
Washington are third after 43 games with 27 wins and 16 losses. Chicago sit fifth with 16 wins and 27 defeats. That gap shows in how each team plays now. The Mystics have scored 444 points in their last five matches, averaging 88.4 per game. Chicago have managed 405 in the same period, 81.0 each time. The difference is not marginal.
Washington won 90:72 at home on 2 June 2026 and 110:80 away on 18 September. Chicago's only victory in that span came 78:64 on 6 August 2025. In six meetings the Mystics have five wins. Chicago have one.
Washington beat Connecticut 79:69, Indiana 93:77, and Chicago 110:80 before losing 82:88 at Los Angeles. Chicago beat Toronto 97:85 but then lost at Atlanta 81:106, at home to Washington 80:110, at New York 66:85, and at Connecticut 81:87. The Sky have not won away from home since their victory over Toronto.
The model expects Washington to score 86.8 points and Chicago 80.6. That suggests a margin of around six points. The Mystics shot 48.9 per cent from the field in their last ten games compared to Chicago's 43.6. They also averaged 37.5 rebounds to 34.0. The model gives no probability for a draw or for both sides to cover the spread.
A tie is mathematically possible but unlikely. If Chicago hold the Mystics to under 80 points and find a way to stay in the game through turnovers or defensive pressure, the result shifts. The Sky have shown they can score 97 points against Toronto, so they are not incapable of offence. But they have conceded 106 at Atlanta and 110 at home to Washington. The conditions for a different outcome would require Chicago to outperform both of those defensive displays.
Outcome: Washington Mystics Women win. Confidence: 72%