Zaglebie — Zamosc: 45:32, Central League

Zagłębie and Zamość met in the Central League on Thursday evening, and the visitors took all three points with a 45:32 win. It was a result that caught most observers off guard, including our own forecast.

By then Zagłębie sat top of the table after two victories and six points, while Zamość had drawn twice but carried zero points. The gap on paper suggested the home side should have had things well in hand.

And here's the thing — form from the autumn window told a different story. Zagłębie's last three outings had been losses, and though they bounced back against KPŻ Żuków on September 13th, the pattern of vulnerability was there for anyone watching.

Our prediction had called for a home win with 86 per cent confidence. The match simply refused to follow that script. Zamość, who had struggled to find any win all season, turned up with something the hosts could not contain.

To be fair, the visitors had not been entirely lifeless before this weekend. They had held their own in two draws, and against a Zagłębie side that looked slightly untidy, they found the rhythm they needed.

By the final whistle the visitors sat alone in 14th place but no longer on zero points. The result broke a run that had begun badly and gave them something to build on from here.