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Canada vs Nepal: match prediction on 17 October 2026

ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 CAA Brampton Cricket Ground Brampton Pending Match page
Canada Nepal

Prediction for

Win: Nepal

63%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

37% 1
63% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 07:05

The visitors, who entered the fixture with a five-match winning streak, extended their dominance over the hosts, who had lost four of their previous five games.

The match followed a familiar pattern between these two sides. Nepal had won the previous meeting on 11 October 2026 by 24 runs at the same venue, posting 235 against Canada's 211. Canada's last five matches produced just one victory, a 58-run win against Oman on 15 October, before four consecutive defeats cost them dearly against Nepal.

The statistics painted a stark picture of the two teams' trajectories. Nepal arrived having won all five of their previous matches, including victories against Oman, Afghanistan and Canada, while also winning a high-scoring clash against United Arab Emirates. Canada, meanwhile, had failed to secure a win in five games, losing heavily against Scotland and the United Arab Emirates in August before their narrow victory over Oman.

The result left Canada in sixth place with 25 points from 27 matches, while Nepal remained seventh with 24 points from 30 games. Despite playing three fewer matches, Canada held a one-point advantage, though Nepal's superior win record of 11 victories to Canada's 10 suggested they were the more competitive side.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 07:05
  • Канада — 6. place, 25 points after 27 games (10 wins, 17 losses)
  • Непал — 7. place, 24 points after 30 games (11 wins, 19 losses)
  • Канада, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
  • Непал, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • Head-to-head: 10 games, Канада — 5, Непал — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Canada LLLLW 1 win · 4 losses
Nepal WWWWW 5 wins

Head to head 12

6Canada 0Draw 6Nepal
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+