Rwanda vs Botswana: match preview on 13 September 2026

Rwanda to win. The gap between these sides has widened since their meeting on 8 September when Rwanda posted 204 and dismissed Botswana for 110, and the visitors continue to struggle for wins after five straight defeats.

Botswana's winless run

Botswana have not won a match since May. Their last five results read 108:109 loss, 101:105 loss, 110:204 loss, 115:117 loss, and 131:193 loss. They have scored 565 runs and conceded 728 across that span, and sit fourth in the table on 2 points from 4 matches.

Rwanda's mixed form

Rwanda have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches, accumulating 6 points and scoring 760 runs while conceding 591. Their recent results include a 134:198 defeat to Uganda, a 191:46 victory over Sierra Leone, a 139:144 loss to Kenya, and the 204:110 win against Botswana. They sit third on 4 points from 4 matches. The swing between the Sierra Leone match and the Uganda match shows inconsistency, but the Botswana result was decisive.

Head-to-head record

Rwanda have won 4 of the last 6 meetings, Botswana 2. The most recent encounter on 8 September ended 204:110. Before that, Botswana won 115:117 on 30 May. The earlier results show Rwanda winning 111:115, 138:137, 98:99, and 131:158. The 204-run total is the highest score either side has posted in this fixture.

What I expect

Rwanda to win, with a confidence of 65%. The visitors have scored fewer than 110 runs in three of their last four matches and have lost every game since May. Rwanda's batting, which produced 204 runs against Botswana, gives them the edge. A draw would suit Botswana — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat.

When this breaks

This conclusion stops holding if Botswana's batting improves significantly. They have not posted a total above 131 since May, and their last three matches all finished with scores below 110. If they can reach 150 or more, the gap narrows. An early collapse of Rwanda's top order would also change the picture — but that is a general risk, not one specific to this pairing.