Jõhvi FC Feniks secured a 3-2 victory over JK Tabasalu in the Esiliiga B Regular Season, Round 30 on Saturday. The result keeps the home side in contention at the upper end of the table, while Tabasalu remain in eighth place after thirty matches played.
And here's the thing — we had tipped Feniks to win, with 51 per cent confidence. The calculation was straightforward: they had been finding their rhythm in recent outings, while Tabasalu's away form had been inconsistent.
Feniks have shown they can score freely but also concede. Their last five included a 4-3 win over Tallinna Kalev II, a 3-2 victory against Pärnu JK Vaprus U21, and a heavy 6-2 defeat to Levadia U19. They have not won since their last three matches were all decided by a single goal.
Tabasalu sit eighth with 33 points from ten wins, three draws and seventeen losses. By then they had already played their full quota of thirty games, so everything from here is about pride and positioning rather than mathematical survival.
The visitors did take a point from Legion in their most recent outing, but that came after a 4-1 loss away to Tallinna Kalev II. They have lost more games than they have won all season, and this result does little to change that pattern.
For Feniks, the win extends their unbeaten run to two matches and keeps them within striking distance of the teams above. The goal difference tells part of the story — they have scored freely but let in as many, and that is what separates them from the top side.