Cup
Spišská Nová Ves
Podbrezová
Prediction for Spišská Nová Ves — Podbrezová
96%
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Al Anwar vs Al Ula: match prediction on 28 August 2026
Al Anwar
Al Ula
Prediction for
Win: Al Ula
62%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
17%
1
23%
X
60%
2
Average bookmaker line (35)
5.39
1
3.91
X
1.50
2
Odds range
1.44 — 1.53
for outcome 2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:10- Средняя линия 32 букмекеров: победа Аль-Ула 1.46, ничья 4.00, победа Аль-Анвар 5.65
- Конторы расходятся в оценке: от 1.42 до 1.50 (6%)
- Аль-Анвар — 12. place, 1 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Аль-Ула — 4. place, 3 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- Аль-Анвар, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
- Аль-Ула, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Аль-Анвар — 0, 1 draws, Аль-Ула — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Al Anwar
LLDLD
2 draws · 3 losses
Al Ula
LWWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 2
0Al Anwar
1Draw
1Al Ula
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
35
bookmakers counted
1.50
Average bookmaker line
1.44 — 1.53
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:10Al Anwar vs Al Ula: Match Preview
Current Standings and Form
Al Ula sit fourth with three points from a single victory, while Al Anwar are twelfth with just one point from a draw. This early-season discrepancy reflects different starts rather than final form, but the gap in confidence is already visible.
Recent Results Analysis
Al Anwar's last five matches show 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses with 7 goals scored and 9 conceded. Their most recent result was a goalless draw away at Al Bukayriyah on August 21.
Al Ula's last five matches show 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses with 8 goals scored and 10 conceded. They won 3-1 at home against Al Jabalain on August 23 and 3-0 against Al-Fateh SC in the King's Cup.
Head-to-Head Record
The two teams have met twice recently. On April 27, 2026, Al Ula won 2-1 away at Al Anwar. Before that, on December 30, 2025, they drew 1-1 at Al Ula's home ground.
Market Assessment
The average line from 32 bookmakers shows Al Ula at 1.46, draw at 4.00, and Al Anwar at 5.65. Current odds from 35 bookmakers have Al Ula at 1.50, draw at 3.90, and Al Anwar at 5.38.
The line movement shows Al Ula drifting from 1.46 to 1.50 (3.1% increase), while Al Anwar has shortened from 5.64 to 5.38 (4.6% decrease).
Model Expectations
The model expects Al Anwar to score 1.2 goals and Al Ula to score 2 goals. The probability of a draw is 21%, both teams scoring is 61%, and 3 or more goals is 63%.
The three most likely scores are 1:2 (10%), 1:1 (10%), and 0:2 (8%).
Key Statistical Differences
Al Ula average 54% possession compared to Al Anwar's 47%. They also take more shots on target (5.22 vs 5.1) and more corners (4.89 vs 4.3).
Al Anwar have disciplinary concerns with H. Majrashi and Raikar each having 1 red card and being one booking away from suspension.
Al Ula Win at 1.50
I recommend Al Ula to win at 1.50.
Conditions Where This Analysis Fails
This conclusion would not hold if Al Anwar's disciplinary issues lead to suspensions that weaken their defense, or if the model's goal expectations are significantly affected by weather conditions or other matchday factors not captured in the data.