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Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Maysan: match prediction on 29 August 2026

Iraqi League Al-Madina Stadium Baghdad Miss Match page
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Naft Maysan

Prediction for

Win: Al Quwa Al Jawiya

58%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

58% 1
23% X
19% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 27 Aug, 17:03

Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win. They have not lost a single game this season, while Naft Maysan are already in the bottom three after three rounds. The head-to-head record is heavily one-sided: five victories and one draw in six meetings, with the most recent encounter ending 2:0 in Baghdad on 28 May.

Naft Maysan's start has been difficult. They have drawn twice and lost once, picking up just two points from their opening fixtures. Their last outing was a 4:0 defeat away at Al Zawra'a, and they have scored only two goals across five matches. The attack has been quiet — two consecutive 0:0 draws at home against Naft and Al-jolan Sc.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya have been harder to break down. Three draws from three games means they are unbeaten, and their recent five-match run shows two wins and three draws. They scored ten goals and conceded seven in that period, including a 3:3 thriller away at Newroz and a 3:2 home win over Zakho.

Naft Maysan have dominated the head-to-head historically, but that has reversed sharply. Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won five of the last six meetings, including both fixtures this season. The away win at the 28 May match was convincing — two clean goals against a side that has already lost to Al Zawra'a and failed to score in two home games. The visitors do not need to open up; they can control the tempo.

Naft Maysan are risky at home, but this time they are the visitors. Their away record is poor — the 4:0 loss at Al Zawra'a is telling. Al Quwa Al Jawiya have shown they can grind out results, and their defensive stability (seven conceded in five games) gives them confidence. The most likely scorelines are 1:0 and 2:0, both home wins. The hosts are the clear choice.

A home victory is the prediction. This would not hold if Naft Maysan find an early goal — their late-game threat is real, with 42% of their goals coming after the 76th minute. If they survive the opening half, they could turn things around.

The scenario falls apart if Naft Maysan score first and manage the game. Given their recent form, that is unlikely.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 27 Aug, 17:03
  • Аль-Кувва аль-Джауийя идёт 13-м: 3 очков после 3 матчей (0 побед, 3 ничьих, 0 поражений)
  • Нафт Мейсан идёт 18-м: 2 очков после 3 матчей (0 побед, 2 ничьих, 1 поражений)
  • Последние 5 матчей Аль-Кувва аль-Джауийя: 2 побед, 3 ничьих, 0 поражений
  • Последние 5 матчей Нафт Мейсан: 1 побед, 2 ничьих, 2 поражений
  • Очные встречи за последние годы: сыграно 8, побед Аль-Кувва аль-Джауийя — 6, ничьих 2, побед Нафт Мейсан — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Al Quwa Al Jawiya DDLWL 1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Naft Maysan DLDLD 3 draws · 2 losses

Head to head 12

10Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2Draw 0Naft Maysan
All head-to-head

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