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Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Prediction for
Win: Al Suqoor
46%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 2
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 27 Aug, 17:03Al Suqoor are the clear favourites to take all three points against Al Riyadh on Thursday. The visitors arrive with four wins in their last five matches and have won both previous encounters between the sides. Al Riyadh, meanwhile, sit bottom of the table with just one point from three games and have yet to register a victory in the Pro League this season.
Al Suqoor have collected 12 points from their last five outings, scoring eight goals and conceding only four. Their only defeat came at home against Al-Qadisiyah. Al Riyadh have managed just five points in the same period, with nine goals scored and thirteen conceded. Their most recent league outing ended in a 3-3 draw away at Al Shabab, but before that they suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat to Al-Nassr.
In two meetings this season, Al Suqoor have won both matches. The most recent encounter on 6 February ended 1-0 to the visitors at their own ground. The earlier fixture on 27 September saw Al Suqoor win 3-2 at Al Riyadh's stadium.
A 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline at 12 per cent, followed by a 0-1 victory for Al Suqoor at 10 per cent. Both teams to score carries a 55 per cent probability, while over three goals in the match sits at 52 per cent. Al Riyadh have struggled to find rhythm, particularly in the opening half-hour where they have conceded 14 per cent of their goals.
If the visitors fail to break through early and Al Riyadh manage to frustrate them through defensive organisation, a draw becomes more plausible. Al Riyadh have shown they can score in bursts, with 28 per cent of their goals coming in the 31-45 minute window. A late equaliser is entirely possible if the match remains tight.