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Amagaju vs Al Merreikh: match prediction on 18 September 2026
Amagaju
Al Merreikh
Prediction for
Win: Al Merreikh
44%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
17%
1
29%
X
54%
2
Average bookmaker line (20)
5.33
1
3.08
X
1.67
2
Odds range
1.63 — 1.70
for outcome 2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 14 Sep, 14:13- Амагажу — 1. place, 3 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- Амагажу, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Аль-Меррейх, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Амагажу — 1, Аль-Меррейх — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Amagaju
LDWLD
1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Al Merreikh
LLWWD
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Head to head 2
1Amagaju
0Draw
1Al Merreikh
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
20
bookmakers counted
1.67
Average bookmaker line
1.63 — 1.70
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 14 Sep, 14:13Amagaju are favourites against Al Merreikh today, and Amagaju are favourites on recent form and a head-to-head win. The hosts are unbeaten in their opening fixture of the season while the visitors are struggling for consistency.
Amagaju begin their campaign with momentum. They secured a clean sheet in their only league match so far, beating Etoile de l'Est 2:0 at home on 5 September. They sit top with 10 points from five, a +2 goal difference, and three wins in their last five. They have won 2 of their last 3 matches, including a narrow 1:0 victory over Al Merreikh at home on 17 May.
Al Merreikh's recent record offers little encouragement. In their last five matches they have managed just 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats for 4 points. They have leaked seven goals in five. The only positive is a 1:0 victory over Power Dynamos in the CAF Champions League on 5 September, but that was a different competition.
The head-to-head record is evenly matched overall, but the most recent encounter favours the hosts. The visitors have not won here in that fixture, and Expect a tight, low-scoring affair. The most likely outcomes are 0-1 (19%), 0-0 (18%), and 1-1 (13%).
Expect a tight, low-scoring affair. The most likely outcomes are 0-1 (19%), 0-0 (18%), and 1-1 (13%). Three or more goals are expected in only 24% of simulations. These figures point toward a low-scoring affair where Al Merreikh may edge it by a single goal.
They have shown they can win away in continental competition, and the 1:0 victory over Power Dynamos suggests they are capable of tight wins. A draw would suit the visitors given their tendency to run the clock down, and that scenario becomes more likely if Amagaju fail to break them down early.